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$AR No vision, can't hold on, the profit this wave is as thin as paper, but I love it to death.
When the market was just crashing in the early session, I actually didn't plan to take the whole move, I only saw obvious resistance at the high level, volume didn't keep up, every rally was short of breath, so I suggested light short positions, admit mistakes if wrong, protect if right.
Better to miss a limit-up than catch a falling knife and get bloodied.
Unexpectedly, it really gave face, from 4.481 to 4.407, short position +33.47%, this profit feels good, can have a nice meal, hitting the rhythm right is better than anything.
First close 80%, protect the remaining 20% at cost price, if it continues to drop let the profit run, on rebound don't give it back. Don't be greedy for the last bit, put the big part in your pocket first.
Now is not the time to rush, chasing highs easily gets stuck at the peak, wait for the next signal to move, the market is not short of opportunities, it's short of patience. Being out of the market is not a sin, opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
$ZEC $XRP ETH extreme compression, is the catch-up window coming? But the giant whale short positions have already incurred a floating loss of 30 million!
On-chain data shows that among about 200 active giant whale addresses on Hyperliquid, ETH short positions are about $1.05 billion, long positions about $687 million, with short positions 1.5 times the size of long positions. One giant whale holds 78,000 ETH short positions, with an average opening price of 2340, currently a floating loss of about $30.29 million, liquidation price 4291. The short pressure is huge; once ETH breaks upward, a short squeeze could become the fuel.
At the same time, some whales are offloading:
An ancient whale with a cost of only $11.61 recharged 13,330 ETH to Coinbase 2 hours ago (worth about $36.37 million), expected to profit $36.21 million. On the other side, a large ETH holder who opened a position yesterday continues to withdraw 1,236 ETH from OKX, with holdings increased to 2,656 ETH, average price 2703. Some are taking profits, others are continuously accumulating.
ETF funds are weak:
Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $138 million last week, reversing from a net inflow of $690 million the previous week. BlackRock's ETHA had a single-day net inflow of $92.58 million, but overall funds are withdrawing, which is a signal to watch.
Key levels:
Resistance above at 2726-2750, support below at 2634-2650. ETH is currently lagging behind BTC; whether the catch-up window opens depends on whether it can break through 2750 with volume.Currently, I personally believe that Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH are more suitable to focus on shorting opportunities, with key levels around $87,000 and $2,800 respectively.
Why am I so firm about this now? 👇
First and foremost, the most important factor is that U.S. Treasury yields remain high!
Even if there is positive news, the market will quickly be suppressed.
At the same time, oil prices remain high, which further increases market pressure.
So what really needs attention now is not some negative news about a particular coin, but:
⚠️ Whether U.S. Treasury yields will further break upwards.
If yields continue to rise, risk assets may face greater pressure, and this is the real risk the market should be wary of right now.
$BTC $ETH Brother, $ZEC cannot replicate last month's trend, be cautious of bull trap now! First, let's look at news, negative factors keep coming one after another. ETF funds are accelerating exit. Since launch of Grayscale ZCSH in August, it recorded first weekly net outflow, with $93.6 million withdrawn this week, including $30.25 million in single day. Assets under management have fallen from peak to about $751 million. Two weeks ago, it was star product with net inflow of $98.2 million, but now capit$BTC
1. Short-term market: Bitcoin tested the 87,000 resistance level again after 3 days. It has attempted to break this level 4 times in two weeks. Multiple attempts without a breakthrough will consume buying power, and there is selling pressure above, likely extending the consolidation period.
2. Long-term outlook: Bullish in the long run, expecting BTC to eventually break through 87,000 with targets at 100,000, 120,000, or even 200,000. Referring to historical bull and bear cycles, a bull market typically lasts about 3 years, and this bull market has only been underway for 3 months, so there is ample room for growth.ETH quickly pulled back near 2680 again. During the day, I wrote 2 posts explaining ETH's trend.
In practice, you must wait for the pullback. Treat the current trading according to the lower support and upper resistance zones of the range.
Otherwise, we will remain in unrealized losses.
Currently: bulls still dominate, do not short lightly. The best strategy is to wait for the support level to go long.
Whether it's ETH's strategy or altcoin plans, it's the same; the conditions for a successful breakout are not met now.
As shown in the chart, the 3 red boxes on ETH are all support levels, all suitable for entering long positions. If trapped, the maximum holding time is only 3 to 5 hours.🔥 $HYPE: Bigger Than Just a Narrative
Hyperliquid is gaining more professional visibility, with selected perp markets now appearing on Bloomberg Terminal. 👀
📊 OI remains above $18B, keeping derivatives activity firmly on the radar.
But the key is confirmation:
Volume ↑ + OI ↑ + Fees ↑ = stronger $HYPE setup
Institutional visibility is only the beginning. The real test is whether fresh liquidity follows.
👀 Can $HYPE turn attention into another breakout? #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元
Hello everyone, I'm Ergou. Recently, the data for $SOL has been like "fire and ice."
The ecosystem fundamentals are very strong: tokenized stock trading volume exceeded $4.4 billion in September, Aave V4 supports US stocks as collateral, on-chain revenue has led for 10 consecutive quarters, and institutional activity is frequent.
But the secondary market is dismal: ETF inflows have plummeted 97%, DEX daily active users dropped from 4.8 million to 800,000, and with the Drift hacker incident, funds are clearly retreating. On the chart, SOL at $120 is firmly suppressed by the 50EMA, and the trend has broken.
My core view: SOL is undergoing the growing pains of "shifting from virtual to real." The Meme retreat has caused a sharp drop in activity, with heavy short-term selling pressure. But the new narrative of "on-chain US stocks" is taking shape. Don't rush to bottom-fish; wait for the hacker compensation to clear, and closely watch whether tokenized stocks can bring real incremental capital. Short-term bearish, long-term bullish on ecosystem transformation! $UNI This isn't a rebound; it's like CPR for my short account, right? The more it bounces, the more shorting opportunities there are, hilarious.
Yesterday afternoon, every surge during the session was short of breath, volume didn't keep up, selling pressure was strong. I signaled to open shorts around 9.126, clear resistance above, short in and wait for the answer.
Now the price moved from 8.925 to 8.925, +110.67% in hand, the earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is really sweet.
Take profits on 80% first, keep 20% at the protection level and cost price; if it continues to drop, let the profits run, don't feel bad if it rebounds.
Have a strategy before the market opens, discipline during the session, and reflection after. The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they're the smartest.
Now is not the time to rush; if you miss it, don't chase. Wait for a new structure to emerge, I'll signal immediately.
$SOL $SNDK [Old Chive Observation] $FET
It's worth taking another look at FET this wave. On October 4th, it rose 12% in a single day, and today's trading volume has already exceeded $200 million.
More importantly is the price structure: in mid-September, FET was still at $0.15–$0.18, now it has surged to around $0.26. This is not a sudden spike in a single candlestick; funds have been continuously pushing into the AI sector for several days. If it can hold $0.245 after a pullback and the volume expands again, the AI trend may have a second leg.
Conversely, if it breaks below $0.225, this rise should be treated as short-term capital rotation.
Wait for a pullback to $0.245–$0.255.
Entry: $0.245–$0.255
Take profit: $0.275 / $0.300 / $0.330 / $0.370 / $0.420
Stop loss: $0.225
If it can hold $0.245 after a pullback and the volume expands again, the AI trend may have a second leg.
Conversely, if it breaks below $0.225, this rise should be treated as short-term capital rotation.【On-Chain Trading Activity｜WLD】
Detected address 0xc3d1 long position:
▪ Execution price: 0.5628 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 62,030.69 USD
▪ Leverage: 10x
Note: This address has earned over 12,000 USD in profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +11.22% Solana treasury company DeFi Dev Corp has increased its position again.
The company announced that it recently purchased 26,203 $SOL, raising the total holdings of SOL and equivalent assets to 2,564,000 tokens. Looking back over a longer period, holdings have increased by 11% in the past approximately 7 weeks.
What’s even more noteworthy is the per-share data. During the same period, SOL per share grew to double digits; net asset value per share and cash both increased by over 100%. The US stock market opened and filled the daytime gap, keep watching. As long as 85200 is not broken overall, it's fine. If it breaks, it will turn into a choppy market with slow progress. The continuity of this market is indeed very poor $BTC $ETH $ETH current range boundaries are very clear, with strong resistance at 2806 above and short-term support at 2650 below. The price oscillates around 2700, repeatedly testing the upper resistance.
Short positions continue to be held and observed, without blindly adding or exiting early. Each time the price approaches 2806, it encounters selling pressure, indicating strong resistance at this level.
Once the price stagnates below 2806, a downward retracement will begin, with the initial target being the Bollinger middle band support near 2650, awaiting market confirmation. $ETH 🔥 $HYPE Is Getting Bigger
Hyperliquid is gaining serious market visibility as selected perp markets become available on Bloomberg Terminal. 👀
📊 Open interest has also pushed above $18B, showing strong derivatives activity.
But remember:
More visibility ≠ guaranteed price upside.
Watch for: 💰 Volume growth
📈 OI strength
🔥 Protocol fees
🏦 Real institutional participation
If these metrics keep improving, the $HYPE narrative could become even stronger. Big Brother Maji strikes again! Three position sheets reveal truth: big money is truly betting on mainstream rebound market Another latest position sheet leaked, many still think he's obsessed with flipping various small coins, but this time it's crystal clear: focus is firmly locked on BTC and ETH, with themes just used as small positions to add some extra flavor. Breaking down each detail: - BTC long position｜40X full position: heavy holding of 474 coins, opened at 84883.40, current floatiHeld up under pressure, entered at 86000, rose to 86700, almost couldn't hold the pressure and manually closed the position.Here's some news worth watching for tomorrow, brothers: On October 6th, both $ETH and $ZEC will have upgrade test nodes. First, about $ETH. Glamsterdam will activate on Sepolia testnet, focusing on ePBS, BAL, and series of Gas mechanism adjustments. Simply put, it's about continuing to "speed up" Ethereum. But don't get too excited just because you see word "upgrade." This is testnet, not mainnet launch. So what's really worth watching tomorrow isn't whether $ETH will pump because of news, but wWhy has $BTC been consolidating around 86000 for so long? Because this is a support level where bulls and bears are battling. I lost 200,000 U because I used to recklessly open positions during consolidation, only to get stopped out repeatedly. Now I've learned: during consolidation, wait for a breakout or a pullback to support before entering. Currently at 86084, support at 86000, resistance at 86963. I placed a 5000 U long order at 86000, stop loss at 85700, target 86963. Never hold a position without a stop loss. Remember: don't chase orders during consolidation, follow after a breakout, and a pullback to support is an opportunity. $BTC #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Currently, I personally lean more towards shorting $BTC and $ETH.
BTC's previous high is around 87,000, and ETH's previous high is around 2,800; these two levels still deserve close attention.
Why is my current view relatively clear?
First, the most important factor is not any negative news about a specific coin, but that U.S. Treasury yields remain at high levels.
Even if the market sees some positive news, prices can easily be suppressed by the high-yield environment. Meanwhile, oil prices remain relatively high, which also makes it difficult for the market to fully dispel concerns about inflation and interest rates.
So what we really need to be cautious about now is not negative news about any particular coin, but:
⚠️ U.S. Treasury yields continuing to break upward.
If yields continue to rise, valuation pressure on risk assets may further increase, and the rebounds of BTC and ETH may face stronger resistance.
Therefore, BTC at 87K and ETH at 2.8K are the key resistance areas I am watching.
However, in trading, I will still wait for price confirmation rather than blindly chasing shorts.
React first, confirm second, position third.
NFA / DYOR.
$BTC $ETHI am currently relatively cautious about the short-term outlook of $BTC and $ETH. Bitcoin previously surged to around $87,400, and Ethereum briefly touched near $2,810, but selling pressure remains evident above. What truly deserves attention is not a single negative news but the macro environment: 🔹 U.S. Treasury yields remain high, liquidity pressure has not eased significantly, and market expectations for rate cut pace are becoming more cautious. 🔹 Oil prices remain high, inflation risks may fluctuate, further limiting the upside potential of risk assets. 🔹 When recent market positive news appears, the sustained rebounds of BTC and ETH remain insufficient, indicating weak capital enthusiasm to chase high-risk assets. Therefore, I believe the biggest risk right now is not sudden negative news for a single coin, but U.S. Treasury yields continuing to break higher. If the 10-year Treasury yield rises again, BTC and ETH may face greater valuation pressure. For short-term trading, I prefer to wait for a rebound to the resistance zone before looking for short-selling opportunities, rather than blindly chasing gains. ⚠️ The market is highly volatile; the above are only personal views and do not constitute investment advice #BTC #ETH #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Macro$TIA
Celestia approaches blockchain scaling from the data-availability side rather than trying to host every application directly. That modular architecture can allow developers to build execution environments while relying on specialized infrastructure for data availability. The long-term thesis depends on adoption by actual rollups and application chains. More networks using the infrastructure would provide a stronger fundamental case for TIA than narrative momentum alone.$ZEC is really a damn bastard, using good news to dump, thought it was going to rise, held through a 50-point drop, and then it just crashed like a waterfall
$ZEC
$ETH
#FedSeptemberMinutes
#HormuzStillClosed $PENDLE
Pendle addresses an increasingly sophisticated part of DeFi: trading and managing future yield. That makes its infrastructure particularly relevant when users want more precise control over yield exposure instead of simply holding assets passively. Its growth, however, depends heavily on sustainable liquidity and actual demand for yield markets. If DeFi activity contracts, that specialized demand could weaken quickly.Also, I found that if you want to do ultra-short-term trading (including Scalp), it's actually better to just trade Bitcoin contracts, because other altcoins, without any news, all follow Bitcoin 🤨The interesting thing about the market right now is that Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are all telling slightly different stories. $BTC is getting the institutional attention, $ETH is seeing its supply position change quietly, while $SOL is becoming harder to ignore because of how much of its supply is being locked into staking and ETF products. For me, the bigger question isn't simply which one can pump the hardest. It's where the available supply is actually going. Bitcoin: Institutions Are St🔥 After two consecutive attempts to break through 86,000 without holding, BTC is making a third try. If it fails again this time, the real danger might not be the bears, but the bulls trampling over themselves!
📈 $BTC is once again pushing toward the 86,000–87,000 USD range this afternoon, marking the third upward test in a short period. The first time it touched 87,000 it quickly fell back; the second time it didn't even reach 87,000. If the third attempt is also suppressed, short-term bullish patience may quickly wear thin.
💣 Why is this area like a "powder keg"? In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw liquidations totaling $138 million, with short liquidations reaching as high as $113 million, and BTC short liquidations hitting $57.07 million. This means that much of the recent rally has been driven by forced buybacks from short stop-losses and liquidations, rather than continuous active spot buying.
🧨 Once the shorts have been mostly cleared out, if no new funds come in to take over, the bulls' profit-taking could become new selling pressure.
📊 The liquidation heatmap shows a large short liquidation zone near 90,000, while clusters of long liquidations exist near 83,000 and 75,000. 86,000 is a short-term dividing line; if it breaks down, watch 85,000 → 84,000; if it holds with volume at 87,000–88,500, there is a chance to continue pushing toward 90,000.
💬 Can the third attempt hold? #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 You caught the exact paradox everyone is seeing right now. That data you saw is real — last week of September, Dogecoin had about *35,495 average daily active addresses, down ∼40% YoY, with total transactions down 39%*. Other trackers for September 26 show *29k-35k active addresses* in 24h. So yes, it's the lowest activity zone since 2017, price holding up on sentiment more than on-chain usage. ae61267b But your second observation is the key that most panic posts miss: *1. Fewer users ≠ weaker nGTC is currently hovering around 0.2099, with the short-term moving averages just crossing upwards, the MACD golden cross still intact, but volume has slowed down, and RSI is relatively high, indicating that chasing longs here directly is prone to being pulled back and stopped out. The liquidation map shows a large amount of long liquidations clustered around 0.2072, and the bears' momentum to push down has clearly weakened, so this level can be considered support.
Just completed a trade and returned to the electric bike, taking a quick look at the market before deciding. Plan to buy on a pullback between 0.2075 and 0.2085, with a stop loss set below 0.2040—don’t hold through losses. On the upside, first target is 0.2180; after breaking through, reduce position and hold to around 0.2320, where liquidation pressure near 0.24 exists, so taking some profits there is safer.
If volume breaks below 0.2068, this bullish structure will be broken; don’t hesitate to reverse position, targeting 0.1980. Keep position size light—don’t risk all your electric bike’s charging fees for tomorrow.
$GTC
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额
@OKX星球 $LIT rose nearly 9% with increased positions, while $BTC and $ETH are still waiting for breakout confirmation.
According to the current market conditions, $BTC is around $86,288, $LIT about $3.843, and $ETH approximately $2,718. LIT is the strongest, BTC holds the rebound structure, and ETH is still capped at $2,725.
BTC stands above the 1-hour EMA20 at $85,988, with positions up 3.0%, price and positions rising together. After closing above $86,690, watch for $87,000; falling back to $85,750 would indicate weakness.
LIT increased 8.8%, positions up 7.8%, with a negative funding rate.
Shorts are still paying; if $3.95 is broken on a 1-hour close, a short squeeze may continue; chasing longs below resistance is not advisable.
ETH only rose 0.8%, positions decreased 1.8%, lacking new leverage support on the upside. Whales bought and staked 2,656 ETH at an average price of $2,703; Bitmine also increased holdings by 15,112 last week, but the $2,725-$2,740 range still requires a candlestick breakout.
OKX smart money is 53.8% net long on BTC but 55.2% net short on ETH.
BTC eyes $86,690, ETH eyes $2,740; whoever stabilizes first will lead the next move. Rushing onto the subway in the morning, one hand holding the handrail, the other scrolling on my phone, I saw a piece of data that instantly woke me up——
Dogecoin's average daily active addresses in 2026 are about 46,700, down 41% from last year, the lowest since 2017.
My first reaction was panic. Really panicked. 2017, huh, how much was Dogecoin worth back then?
But I looked again and realized something was off. The same report said Dogecoin's mining difficulty in 2026 is about seven times higher than at the start of 2022. Fewer users, but more people protecting the network.
Even more absurd, of the $DOGE transferred on-chain in 2026, 87.5% is actually "change," meaning the system automatically returns leftover funds to yourself during transfers. This thing is called UTXO, which I don't fully understand, but basically, many so-called "active" transactions are just machines shuffling funds in the background.
Fewer addresses actually using it doesn't mean no one believes in it. Maybe people are just lazy to move. Like me, bought it and left it alone, working when I should, walking the dog when I should.
The subway arrived at my stop, and I almost didn't get off. But when I put my phone away, I actually felt reassured. Seems like I'm not the only one holding on tight.$AVAX
Avalanche has a different advantage from many general-purpose blockchains: its architecture allows customized networks to be built for specific applications and institutions. That flexibility could become increasingly relevant as blockchain adoption moves beyond one-size-fits-all environments. Still, customization creates its own challenge. The ecosystem needs enough meaningful activity across these networks to justify the complexity and maintain long-term demand for AVAX.Yesterday, a large holder who newly opened a position in $ETH added another $3.36 million worth of tokens.
An hour ago, they withdrew 1,236 ETH from #OKX again. The amount of ETH accumulated since yesterday has increased to 2,656 ETH (about $7.18 million), with an average withdrawal price of $2703.3, currently floating a profit of $19,500.
Their operation has always been: withdraw tokens > stake on Lido, which doesn't seem like a short-term play.$ZEC from 1368 → 1305 → straight through. 😭
Held too long, watched the loss turn ugly, and finally cut at 1311. Even got hit with a 5U fee.
Lesson learned: when the setup breaks, don’t turn “hope” into a strategy.
Next time, I’m closing the chart before emotions take over. 🫠
#HormuzStillClosed #SolanaStocksTop4.4B #NvidiaRecordHigh $PONS pons @ponsdotfamily The latest buyback burn mechanism, here is a simple explanation of my understanding.
Currently, the pons buyback allocator holds $1.52M (about 563 ETH), but the actual burn efficiency is very low, 0.33 ETH/15 minutes, approximately 31.68 ETH/day burn rate. At this burn rate, it would take nearly 18 days to consume all 563 ETH in the buyback allocator.
According to Ozzy's latest statement, the pons buyback burn mechanism is: every 5 days claim the funds from the custody account and transfer them to the buyback allocator, using a 5-day cycle to consume all the transferred buyback funds within the cycle, repeating this process. Based on the 563 ETH buyback funds in the allocator, the burn efficiency should be 563/5 = 112.6 ETH/day.
So, where is the problem?
The problem lies in the genesis cycle start time being before the most recent claim. That is, the buyback fund budget for this cycle is the leftover portion before receiving the claim funds, and this leftover amount is not much (the genesis cycle time should be 10.04-10.09);
The second cycle (10.09-10.14) buyback fund budget is the $1M+ funds claimed after the genesis cycle and transferred to the buyback allocator; this creates a certain degree of misalignment between the buyback funds and the buyback cycle. Telling you, $BTC is now at 86084, just above the support at 86000, with resistance at 86963 above. I opened a long position near 86000, with 5000U as the opening amount, stop loss at 85700, target first at 86500, and if it breaks, then look at 86963. Currently recovering from a 200,000U loss, this position is neither up nor down, so just try a light position to test the waters, no holding without stop loss. Do you think it can break through 86963 tonight? $BTC #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $BTC Even though I know Bitcoin is forming an ascending triangle this time, I still haven't closed my short positions and am preparing for a mid-to-long-term hold. Because I took a loss in the last round, I was actually bearish on Bitcoin as early as April. At that time, I thought the dense chip area should be between 85,000 and 88,000, expecting it to at least reach there, so I kept waiting. But it dropped before even hitting 83,000. Now the structure signals bullish, but this is a dense chip distribution area. Who knows if it will rally to 88,000 or even 90,000? Anyone with some technical knowledge knows there's a large amount of trapped positions here. Would the market makers not know? Could it be that it only rallies to just above 87,000 and then immediately turns down? Also, the weekly KDJ is already at 90. This is no different from the recent ZEC near 1650. Many were looking at 1800, but what happened?$CORE The market surged to 86000, but CORE fell back to 0.021! Workers are feeling defeated
Watching BTC surge past 86000 again, then glancing at the CORE in hand, dropping from 0.022 to 0.02188. This kind of "big cake eats the meat, I can't even drink the soup" gap really breaks one's spirit.
Looking at the chart, CORE rebounded to 0.02555 after hitting a low of 0.01732, then steadily declined. Now even the 0.022 level is precarious. The 1-day moving averages are all trending down, KDJ (28/32) is dulled at a low level, volume has shrunk drastically, and the market is full of signs of B-point buyers stuck with losses, completely in a state of being "bled" by the broader market.
Why so weak? Because all the funds in the market are clustering around core assets. Tokens like CORE, which lack short-term hotspots and incremental funds, can only be marginalized and continue to decline steadily.
For us workers earning sweat money, it's not easy. Facing coins that "follow the drop but not the rise," never get carried away to open leveraged positions to top up! Keep some base holdings in spot and play dead waiting for the wind to change. As long as you don't touch leverage, you will never get liquidated. Protect your principal, work hard, staying alive is the most important thing $BTC $CORE #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC defended 85.1K and is creeping back above 86K. 👀
Short-term momentum is stabilizing, but volume is still weak.
Watch: 🔹 86.3–86.5K → breakout zone
🔹 85.7K → first support
🔹 85.2K → key support
Until volume confirms the move, I’m not chasing. Let the structure speak first. 📊
#SolanaStocksTop4.4B #OKXNOW:LiveTomorrow #MicronAIMemoryOutlook $ADA I originally just wanted to grab a quick breakfast, but the market ended up taking half a year's worth of my dumplings.
I was watching that surge yesterday afternoon very clearly; the volume was like no meal at all, the higher ADA went, the fewer buyers there were, and the resistance line above was pressing down tightly. At that moment, I just said: something's off, no one is buying on the way up. Opened a short.
And it really gave the answer. Entered short at 0.2745, it steadily declined all the way, now at 0.2715, +56.46% profit securely pocketed. The earlier part was really slow, but the outcome is really sweet.
The market is to be waited for, profits are to be held for.
First close 80%, pocket the main part, move the stop loss of the remaining 20% to the cost price, if it continues to drop let the profit run, if it rebounds don't give back what you've gained.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me, now is not the time to rush, chasing shorts easily gets slapped by a rebound. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify immediately.
$LAB $ETH $TRUMP
TRUMP is approaching the upper boundary, why is the net increase not equal to the future potential?
The 24-hour range observed this morning is 2.016—2.071, with a window change of about +1.27% and a trading volume of approximately 5.55 million USDT.
Observing that the price is very close to the highest price indicates that buyers have retained the gains within the window. Being close to the upper boundary also means there is limited remaining space within the range, so past gains cannot be taken as future targets.
If it subsequently breaks above 2.071, holds on a pullback, and trading volume supports it, I will raise my judgment on continuation; the downside risk is a failed breakout and insufficient buying pressure. If it falls below 2.016 and the rebound cannot recover, I will lower my judgment. The range is based on this observation, and subsequent market changes need to be re-verified.Breaking above approximately 90,492 triggers $1.613 billion in short liquidations, breaking below approximately 82,029 triggers $1.518 billion in long liquidations.
CoinGlass (ChainCatcher): If BTC breaks above about $90,492, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach about $1.613 billion; conversely, if it falls below about $82,029, the cumulative long liquidation intensity will be about $1.518 billion. Both sides have liquidation zones around $1.5 billion.
At the time of writing, BTC on OKX is about $86,348, approximately 4,144 away from the upper boundary and 4,319 from the lower boundary, basically stuck in the middle. Moving about 5% in either direction will hit a wall.
My view: Both sides have about $1.5 billion in leverage and similar distances, indicating that both bulls and bears are heavily leveraged waiting for a breakout. In this structure, whoever breaks first will force the other side to liquidate, amplifying volatility and likely causing short-term spikes.
Reminder: Liquidation intensity is an estimate and does not mean this amount will actually be liquidated; prices will move with market orders. This is not investment advice.
90,492 or 82,029, which side do you think will be touched first?
$BTC Moreover, I found that whenever I have something bothering me, my mind gets chaotic, and I can't interpret the market situation. The previously set trading strategies all clash—ICT, PA, moving averages, MACD all mixed together. Sometimes I feel I can go long, sometimes I think the price has peaked and I should short, and sometimes I believe it's just consolidation or a false breakout... This leads to an inability to establish a clear process and entering trades arbitrarily.
When I make a profit, I feel like I'm great; when I lose, I incorporate that loss into the win rate percentage, which is the scariest part.
Including emotional trades and gambling trades as part of the strategy causes bias because the entries are clearly not based on a self-made plan. Every time I review my trades, I feel my system is wrong and needs adjustment. I keep changing it for a long time—half a day, half a month, half a year—and even after dozens of blowouts, I still can't find the real problem. Only in hindsight do I realize this, resulting not only in wasted time but also wasted money.Right now, the position is sitting at roughly a 160% floating loss. If you ask whether I’m tired, honestly, not really. But if you ask whether I’m nervous, I’d be lying if I said no. The level that makes me most uncomfortable is around $88,000. If BTC decisively breaks and holds above that area, the short thesis becomes much more dangerous. My liquidation level is near $91,500, so there isn’t unlimited room for mistakes. Still, looking at the current structure, I don’t think BTC has a huge amounToday, there is a hidden flow of funds in the BTC sector. With $BTC macro slightly easing, the main force is converging back to the mainline coins, and sentiment has shifted from watching to actively accumulating. The leading attribute remains strong.
The 100x long position at 84606 is still held, marked at 86260.1, with an unrealized profit of +195.50%. Another short position at 84605.9 is slightly losing 0.33, overall the long positions are making big gains. Technically, the price is climbing along a micro ascending channel, with pullbacks not breaking support, volume is moderately accumulating, and the structure is bullish. 100x leverage positions must strictly control drawdowns, move stop losses closer to cost to protect principal and big profits, and let the rest extend with the structure.
Finished my coffee, screen locked. The current mindset is "lock in profits first," and use the market's money to watch the show. The previous high is just ahead. For the next candlestick, do you think it will break through first, or sweep my defense to make me pretend to be calm? 🙏$ETH $ZEC
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ The Truth About the "Closed" Strait of Hormuz: Three Contradictions the Market Didn't Tell You On October 4, Iranian Parliament Speaker Kalibaf clearly stated: the Strait of Hormuz "will never open" before seven conditions based on the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding are met. On the same day, seven major OPEC+ oil-producing countries decided to maintain current production levels unchanged in November. The mainstream narrative interprets these two events as a "continued supply crisis." But a deeper look at the data reveals that the truth is far more complex—the three overlooked contradictions are the real variables determining oil price trends. 1. Deadlock at the Negotiation Table vs. Actual Navigation on the Sea Iran's seven conditions include: cessation of fighting, lifting of blockades, ensuring safe navigation through Hormuz, oil exemptions, unfreezing of funds, etc. From a diplomatic perspective, this is indeed "not open." But shipping data tells a completely different story. Kpler data shows that as of September 28, the 7-day average crude oil transport volume through the Strait of Hormuz reached 13.5 million barrels per day, basically matching pre-conflict levels. Total Middle East crude oil exports rose 36% compared to pre-crisis levels, reaching 22.5 million barrels per day, even exceeding the pre-conflict average of 18 million barrels per day. This means that the strait is "closed" on a legal and political level but is in a semi-open state on a physical level. Iran maintains the lifeline of its oil exports through "selective passage"—allowing some vessels to pass while attacking targets accused of "unauthorized" passage. This is not a full blockade but a precise control of passage. 2. OPEC+ "Maintaining"$BTC $ETH $BTC climbed to around $86,900, once again testing the important $87K resistance area. As long as BTC stays above $86K, buyers still appear to have the upper hand. Meanwhile, $ETH broke through the $2,700–$2,720 zone with stronger volume and reached roughly $2,745, signaling that the long period of sideways movement may finally be coming to an end. This move looks broader than a simple news-driven pump. Regulatory developments, liquidity, macro expectations, and aggressive short coveri🔥 Don't rush to chase before Monday's open! The clearest signal in the current crypto market is neither a surge nor a crash, but rather—high-level oscillation and repeated shakeouts.
📊 $BTC current price is 86118, after reaching 86963 it started to pull back and oscillate. The 15-minute RSI6 is at 53.90, back to a neutral zone, indicating that short-term bulls are not pushing upward for now. 86963 is the immediate resistance, 85040 is the key support, especially watch the round number 85000.
🧭 From a larger timeframe perspective, the bullish structure is not broken yet, so this looks more like digestion after a rise rather than a trend reversal. If short-term continues sideways, it actually helps clear floating positions.
⚠️ $ETH at 2714 is clearly weaker than BTC, RSI6 only 45.36, MACD slightly downward. 2739 is resistance, 2690 is support; if BTC weakens, ETH's pullback could be more pronounced.
🔥 $ZEC at 1330 still shows strong resilience, but RSI6 has reached 65.55, with 1368 resistance and 1300 support, so be cautious chasing highs.
💬 Do you think it will break through tonight or continue sideways shakeout? #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 How quiet is the options market right now? Implied volatility is about to hit its lowest in years.
To put it simply, no one is willing to pay upfront for "big swings."
I was a bit stunned when I first saw this data.
The market is clearly warming up, but volatility is flat; logically, these two should move together.
Then I realized, it’s not that the market lacks emotion, it’s that no one really believes a big move will happen.
I’ve fallen into this trap before—when I saw low volatility, I thought a big move was brewing, but the market just stayed sideways for two months.
Actually, low volatility itself doesn’t predict direction; it only means one thing: options are cheap right now.
Greeks.live says buyer strategies will become more competitive, and I half agree with that.
Cheap is cheap, but no one knows when it will get expensive.
If you really want to watch, watch whether new funds come in after the Deribit and Coinbase merger.
If money doesn’t flow in, even the lowest volatility will just stay flat.
I’m watching first, not rushing to bet—after all, I’ve stocked up on these "cheap goods" before, only to find there’s a reason they’re cheap.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 $ETH 【On-Chain Trading Dynamics｜ZEC】
Monitored address 0xc30c shorted:
▪ Execution price: 1,354.3 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 304,675.95 USD
▪ Leverage: 10x