毓鑫YuXin
毓鑫YuXin
Crypto 长期持有者 & 独立研究员 | 玄学交易员 | BTC·ETH·Web3 | AI Agent | 美股 | 理性发声，拒绝噪音 | DYOR
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🚨 Last night I said 76200 was a good entry point, and tonight when the CPI was released, $BTC really dropped to around 76000: this is not a psychic prediction, but having the script written in advance.
These past two days, my only thought in the group was: don't chase, wait to buy at the low.
Last night at 23:38 I said "buy more at the low of Bitcoin"; I kept reminding to buy low in the early morning; today at 13:25 I clearly said: reaching 76200 is the healthiest.
Tonight before the data release, the price really dropped to around 76000, and I bought in as planned.
This CPI didn't explode unexpectedly, but it wasn't very soft either: August CPI year-on-year 3.4%, month-on-month 0.4%, core CPI year-on-year 2.4%, month-on-month 0.3%, slightly higher than expected. #PPI高于预期，今晚CPI定方向
After the data came out, BTC quickly rebounded, once returning to around 77500.
So what I'm most satisfied with in this trade is not "guessing 76000", but the whole process of not chasing the candlesticks.
Find the position in advance → wait for the market to give the price → buy when it arrives.
Trading is not about predicting the next candlestick, but thinking clearly in advance: where to stop chasing when it rises, where to dare to buy when it falls, and where breaking below means you were wrong.
Now the first support at 76000 has appeared, but I won't rush to call a reversal yet. Next, focus on whether 77000 can hold steady, and whether 78000 can be reclaimed. $ZEC
Screenshots are all there, hindsight is meaningless.
Planned losses are acceptable; unplanned chasing and panic selling are the most costly.
Did you catch this CPI needle tonight?
It has to be you, Third Brother; even taking out an online loan can be called a divine gift!
Everyone, don't laugh, in the end, the Chinese people will pay!!
News report: In the early years, a large amount of Chinese online loans entered India, investing 18 billion in cash loans, but ended up suffering large-scale loan defaults locally. Many Indian borrowers banded together, forged documents to cheat loans, raised high credit limits, and then ran away. Once the platform tried to collect, they complained about platform violations. India's credit system is weak, and the cost of debt collection lawsuits is extremely high, with platform bad debts reaching up to 80%. Coupled with tightened regulations, over a hundred platforms suffered huge losses of 7 billion and eventually collectively withdrew from India.
📅10.17｜BTC returns near 81,400, ETH remains around 2,420. Don’t rush to bottom-fish over the weekend; whether BTC can hold 81,000 is more important than how high the rebound can go.
Today is the year of Bingwu, month of Wuxu, day of Jiazi, lunar calendar September 8. Jia wood sits on Zi water, using the imagery of "water nourishing wood" to remind yourself: to grow upward, first stabilize your roots. The market is the same; a rebound doesn’t mean it’s stable, it only counts if there’s support on the pullback.
BTC is about $81,448, down 1.05% in 24 hours, range 80,719—82,821. The rebound neared 83,000 but hasn’t taken it yet; resistance remains above.
BTC: Support 80,700—81,200 | Strong support 79,800—80,000 | Resistance 82,500—83,000 | Strong resistance 84,000—84,500.
Today, watch for support near 81,000. If it holds and retakes 82,500—83,000, with pullbacks not breaking it, then look toward around 84,000; if 80,700 breaks, be cautious of 80,000 being tested again. Until 83,000 is firmly held, I still view it as weak oscillation and won’t chase the middle of the range.
ETH is about $2,418, down 0.99% in 24 hours, range 2,391—2,490. The rebound to near 2,500 was pushed back; this hurdle is not yet cleared.
ETH: Support 2,390—2,420 | Strong support 2,320—2,350 | Resistance 2,460—2,500 | Strong resistance 2,550—2,600.
Watch if ETH can hold near 2,400 first. If it retakes 2,500, then look toward 2,550—2,600; if it breaks 2,390 and fails to recover on the rebound, focus on 2,350—2,320. After BTC stabilizes, ETH must follow; market sentiment recovery will be more convincing.
Key levels to watch today:
BTC: 81,000 / 83,000
ETH: 2,400 / 2,500
US stock markets are closed over the weekend, but Crypto is still trading. News may trigger rapid fluctuations, especially with low liquidity, making spikes more likely. Don’t rush on breakouts; wait for pullback confirmation of support.
I prefer to wait for BTC to hold 81,000 and retake 83,000 before raising my assessment of the rebound. If 80,000 breaks and the rebound is weak, control risk as planned; don’t convince yourself to hold just because "it’s already dropped so much."
Do you think BTC will retake 83,000 first, or test support near 80,000 again?
For personal market observation only, not investment advice.
10.16 Pre-market Overview: Data Hot but Can't Push Down, What Are Funds Waiting For?
Last night, the US September PPI was clearly hot (MoM 1.3%, YoY 6.3%), but the market showed a counter-textbook reaction—US Treasury yields fell, the Dow led gains, and BTC quickly rebounded above 80,000 after bottoming at 79,844.
This "bad news but no drop" pattern is often more worth pondering than a direct surge. It indicates that there is absorbing capital accumulating, but don’t rush to blindly chase it as a reversal signal.
1. BTC & ETH: Watch for Absorption, Don’t Chase the First Candle
BTC: After a false break below 80,000 last night, it quickly recovered, showing clear signs of capital support. Today, focus on the 81,500–82,000 level for pullback absorption. If it holds and breaks above 83,000 with volume, the upside can open to 83,800–84,500; if it falls below 81,500 again, be prepared to retest 80,000.
ETH: Still in a weak follow-up state (around $2,442). ETH must reclaim 2,500 for market risk appetite to truly spread to altcoins; otherwise, the short-term remains a BTC unilateral consolidation pattern.
2. US Stocks and Bonds: Funds Defending, Tech Stocks Just Stabilizing
The Dow is strong, Nasdaq weak, indicating funds are still clustering in low-valuation and defensive sectors.
The 10-year US Treasury yield (5.09%) is currently the overall market commander: if it falls below 5.05%, risk assets will feel comfortable; if it rises back above 5.20%, this rebound will likely fizzle out.
3. Gold and Oil
Gold rebounded near $4,153, but $4,200 remains a heavy resistance zone; Brent at $104 and WTI at $94 indicate that secondary inflation risks have not been resolved.
Trading Reminder
Today is the day of Bingwu year, Wuxu month, Guihai day; Gui water sits on Hai, symbolizing "flowing again under pressure." Corresponding to the market, selling pressure exists, but funds are starting to enter and rotate.
At 20:30 tonight, import and export price indices will be released. Short-term, no need to rush to bottom-fish on the left side; first watch if BTC 82,000 and ETH 2,500 can confirm stable holds on the right side. Respect key levels, do not chase the first strong bullish candle.
Personal market observation, not investment advice.
以前总觉得自己是来薅项目羊毛的，现在才慢慢发现，原来自己才是那根毛。
项目方能不能赚钱不知道，反正撸毛人的时间、精力和本金都是真金白银。
这年头，撸毛也得学会止损。
以前是撸毛致富，现在是防止被撸秃。 😂
大家最近还有拿到真正值得的空投吗？
StandX
We have an important update to share.
StandX will airdrop $DUSD with no lockup and will not proceed with a token launch.
Airdrop claims open November 1 and close December 31. Perps moves to Reduce-Only on October 20. Positions close January 15.
Withdrawals and redemptions close January 31.
Full announcement article in the next tweet.
🌞10.15｜Last night CPI was hotter than expected, BTC fell back to 81,000, ETH was even weaker, directly probing near 2350.
But there is a detail worth watching today: US Treasury yields and the dollar have already started to decline, yet Crypto hasn't really bounced back. This indicates the current problem isn't entirely macro-related; the market's own support isn't strong either. There's PPI at 20:30 tonight, so don't rush to bottom-fish; wait for the price to give the answer itself.
Today is the year of Bingwu, month of Wuxu, day of Renxu. Ren water sits on Xu earth, like water wanting to flow forward but blocked by thick soil. Applied to the market, it means it wants to rebound, but resistance above is significant.
BTC is currently around $81,400, daily range 80,569—83,996. Yesterday's high was close to 84,000; once CPI was released, gains were basically all given back, and 83,000 turned from support back into resistance.
BTC: Support 80,500—81,000 | Strong support 79,500—80,000 | Resistance 82,000—82,500 | Strong resistance 83,000—83,500.
Today, first watch if 81,000 can be reclaimed. If it retakes 82,500 and holds on pullback, then look at 83,000—83,500; if 80,500 continues to break, watch out for 80,000 or even 79,500.
No need to rush to guess if 80,000 is the bottom. First see if there is real money buying at this level.
ETH is currently about $2,375, daily range 2,340—2,524, clearly weaker than BTC.
ETH: Support 2,350—2,380 | Strong support 2,300—2,330 | Resistance 2,420—2,450 | Strong resistance 2,480—2,500.
ETH has already broken below 2,400; to turn strong it must first reclaim 2,450, then stabilize before looking at 2,500; if 2,350 can't hold, watch 2,300.
Same view: BTC stopping its fall doesn't mean the whole market is Risk-on. Only when ETH retakes 2,500 will altcoin recovery look more credible.
US stocks also looked weak last night: S&P 500 down 1.11% to 7,718.94, Nasdaq down 1.88% to 26,692.87, Dow slightly down 0.09% to 51,621.48. Tech, AI, and semiconductors were the main sell-off sectors.
The market worries not only about high valuations but also recalculating financing costs under high interest rates and when these huge AI investments will pay off.
S&P support at 7,680—7,700, resistance 7,780—7,820; Nasdaq support 26,500—26,700, resistance 27,000—27,200. If tonight's PPI remains hot, tech stocks will likely stay under pressure.
US September overall CPI rose 0.6% month-over-month, 3.7% year-over-year; core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, 2.6% year-over-year. Gasoline prices rose 9.1% in one month; housing, airfares, and some service prices also increased.
In short, this time it's not just oil prices causing trouble; core inflation is stickier than the market expected.
After data release, rate hike expectations briefly intensified. But as Fed officials signaled patience, 10-year Treasury yields fell back to about 5.13%, and the dollar index dropped to around 102.06.
This is the key observation point today:
US Treasuries and the dollar have eased, but BTC and ETH are still down.
If yields continue downward but Crypto can't reclaim resistance levels, it means spot buying is indeed insufficient; macro alone can't be blamed.
Gold was also under pressure last night, spot fell to about $4,097, December futures settled at $4,107.90.
Gold: Support 4,050—4,080 | Strong support 4,000—4,020 | Resistance 4,120—4,150 | Strong resistance 4,180—4,200.
Reclaiming 4,150, then look at 4,200; if 4,050 breaks, watch the 4,000 round number. Long-term bullish on gold is one thing; whether to buy short-term is another—don't mix them.
Crude oil fell somewhat in the Asian morning session, Brent around $104.67, WTI about $94.07. Oil price pullback is good news, but Brent remains above $100, and Middle East transport risks haven't truly eased.
I have three scenarios prepared for tonight's PPI:
PPI below expectations: watch if 10-year yield can stay below 5.15%, BTC can reclaim 82,500, ETH can retake 2,450.
PPI meets expectations: market continues digesting last night's CPI, BTC likely oscillates between 80,500—82,500, avoid chasing in the middle of the range.
PPI above expectations: focus on BTC's 80,000, ETH's 2,350, and gold's 4,050. Defend if support breaks; if support holds, don't short at the first red candle.
Key levels to watch today:
BTC: 80,500 / 82,500
ETH: 2,350 / 2,450
Gold: 4,050 / 4,150
S&P: 7,700 / 7,800
Nasdaq: 26,600 / 27,100
What BTC needs most now is not a sudden pullback to 84,000, but to first hold 80,500—81,000, then gradually reclaim 82,500 and 83,000.
If bad news can't push prices down, that's when to look for opportunities; with US Treasuries falling but prices unable to rise, we must admit weakness.
Holding steady is more important than touching highs; opportunities are infinite, capital is limited.
Do you think tonight's PPI will give BTC a chance to recover, or will 80,000 have to face another test?
For personal market observation only, not investment advice.
Starting to guess this year's New Year gift as early as October, is it a bit too soon? But some benefits really need to be watched in advance—especially those activities that you can't get even if you meet the conditions once the time is missed.
The OKX 2026 year-end limited physical gift box has quietly been arranged. Don't miss the claiming time and operation steps; here’s a simple summary of the key points 👇
Meet any of the following conditions to have a chance to qualify for claiming:
▫️ From October 4 to 17, the daily average assets reach the VIP 1 threshold of the site;
▫️ Based on the trading level snapshot at 23:55 on October 17, the trading volume in the past 30 days reaches the VIP 1 threshold.
No need to register in advance this time; the system will automatically evaluate. You can check the specific threshold by opening the OKX App and viewing the VIP page at the top left.
Once qualified, remember to enter "My Rewards" to claim the gift box between 10:00 on October 19 and 23:55 on October 24, select the size, and fill in the shipping address.
Pay special attention here: qualifying does not mean automatic shipment; the last step must be done by yourself, and late claims cannot be made. Friends who recently meet the conditions, remember to check the site messages often, don’t be too busy trading and forget the gift box 😂
I’ve always thought OKX is quite attentive to these small details in user experience. The year-end gift is not just a peripheral item but a tangible token of a whole year’s companionship.
@misaENFP @okxchinese
