Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
推特同名@Crypto_猫哥 币圈八年老韭菜 全世界最全的、最详细的BTC行情分析 点点关注、关注必回
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$BTC
Brothers, you can interact more under my posts
Then join the group I pinned
Those who interact will get red envelopes
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$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Conclusion first
We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30%
Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB
If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP
Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation
I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back
Let's all get rich together
$BTC
The recent trend of BTC is pretty much what I predicted before. It formed a double top and then dropped sharply. However, the support during this drop was very weak, falling below expectations.
The two shaded areas in the middle of the chart should have been support levels, but they were directly broken through and didn't hold. Last night, the US stock market actually performed quite well, so BTC's reaction clearly shows that the 87,000 resistance is very strong.
Overall, it's still within a large consolidation range. I currently remain bearish on 82,000. And this time, I think it is very likely to break below because this move is weaker than expected. The key levels are all marked on the chart. The support to watch first is 82,000, then 80,000.
$BTC
$ETH
After the release of the strong non-farm payroll data last night, BTC surged to a high of 8.72, then formed a W double bottom rebound pattern as the positive news settled, completing the rebound and falling back to the 8.52-8.31 consolidation range.
Given that the US stock market is closed over the weekend and the Asian market is on National Day holiday, market liquidity is insufficient, so the price will likely move sideways around 8.4, with a recommendation to watch more and trade less during the weekend holiday
$BTC
$ETH
The day before yesterday I said, build your position slowly, don’t rush in.
Last night BTC tried to break through 87k but then fell back into the range. From the candlestick chart, even if BTC drops to 80k and then rebounds, the structure still shows an upward trend.
My previous view hasn’t changed: every pullback is a buying opportunity. Continue building positions in quality projects, but don’t trade excessively and lose money.
In the past few weeks, many people have lost half of the one million dollars they earned. I’m basically safe because I bottomed out early at 60k. When the price reached 80k, I didn’t add more risk, just took some profits and then continued holding the positions built at 60k
$BTC
Last night BTC once again reached 87-88k
Then quickly dropped down, proving there is very strong selling pressure around 87-88k
The market is expected to continue oscillating
Continue following the plan: friends with low positions can add small positions at 82k
Friends with heavy positions should fully buy at 79k
Brother Mao's credibility is still rising
Brothers who haven't joined the group, join the group on my homepage
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
$BTC
Will the previously predicted M top form?
On the 25th of last month, the M top was predicted.
Until it completely breaks below 82.8K, this remains the current thinking.
At present, the probability of an M top is increasing.
First, the current mindset is bullish because the daily chart has already reversed; no matter how it falls, the pattern can currently only be seen as a pullback. (A wide-range consolidation is not ruled out)
Then, in the short term, the daily volume is insufficient, and the 4-hour volume is not enough to support the price rising too high. However, the MACD daily chart shows a golden cross trend.
So I judge that in the next 3 days, BTC will still make a push upwards.
Whether a new high (blue line) will appear is unpredictable. The right head might be lower (red line), but it’s hard to say.
However, if the top day shows a volume surge with a rapid drop and a daily bearish engulfing candle appears, then opening a short position can be considered.
啊？
老马也能被分手？
Shivon Zilis
It’s hard to go from in love to let go in a week with no warning, but that’s just how it is sometimes 🤷🏻♀️
I feel happy that I got to show Elon how it feels to be deeply understood, nurtured, and peacefully loved with stability and gentleness. Given the tumultuous nature of his early life, his often tortured soul, and how hard he fights for humanity I wanted him to feel the deepest and most stable form of love this world can provide. My heart is full knowing I got to do that, and I hope it leaves a lasting good effect.
We were always his safe space. A place where all of us were overjoyed to see him and one that was always full of happiness and love, not war, in contrast to his otherwise militant existence (a needed break from the battlefield where he could recharge his heart and soul before heading back out)
I loved being that counterbalancing place of safety, sense of calm, and love — and delighted in bringing a smile back to his face when he was down. I will miss him dearly.
I’ve loved him more than life itself and he’s taught me 100 lifetimes of knowledge and made my cup overflow with life meaning, so there is a lot of loss, but luckily we created four beautiful little loves of my life ❤️❤️❤️❤️ I am so beyond grateful for our children and they make every single day the best day of my life! I do hope and pray he and I can be great friends and coparents.
I’m hurting, but care deeply about E and will always be cheering for his happiness. God speed, Elon, the world is lucky to have you.
$BTC
Will the previously predicted M top form?
On the 25th of last month, the M top was predicted.
Until it completely breaks below 82.8K, this remains the current thinking.
At present, the probability of an M top is increasing.
First, the current mindset is bullish because the daily chart has already reversed; no matter how it falls, the pattern can currently only be seen as a pullback. (A wide-range consolidation is not ruled out)
Then, in the short term, the daily volume is insufficient, and the 4-hour volume is not enough to support the price rising too high. However, the MACD daily chart shows a golden cross trend.
So I judge that in the next 3 days, BTC will still make a push upwards.
Whether a new high (blue line) will appear is unpredictable. The right head might be lower (red line), but it’s hard to say.
However, if the top day shows a volume surge with a rapid drop and a daily bearish engulfing candle appears, then opening a short position can be considered.
$BTC
$ETH
It's Friday, tonight is the Nonfarm Payrolls report, focus on two key points tonight
1️⃣ Unemployment Rate expected at 4.1%, previous value 4.1%
Above 4.1%: Indicates cooling in the job market, reducing pressure for the Fed to continue raising rates, generally positive for the crypto space.
Below 4.1%: Indicates the labor market remains tight, giving the Fed more reason to stay hawkish, generally negative for the crypto space.
2️⃣ Nonfarm Payrolls expected at 90,000, previous value 162,000
Above 90,000: Employment stronger than market expectations → rate hike/high interest rate expectations rise → US Treasury yields and USD strengthen → BTC/ETH under pressure.
Below 90,000: Employment cools → rate hike expectations decline → US Treasury yields and USD weaken → BTC/ETH benefit.
$BTC
$ETH
Friday's non-farm payroll data is coming, and the market has been oscillating over 2000 points back and forth in the 82505~85262 range. The short-term sideways movement essentially means waiting for the evening news to be released.
Today is Friday Asian session, the market moved in advance, price led the way up, reaching a high of 86814, showing a direct momentum to break the previous high.
If tonight's data exceeds expectations, the probability of breaking the previous high is very high.
This rebound is a 6-hour level movement, internally it is a 90-minute level rise. Focus on the 90-minute K-line running trajectory above the zero axis; once a reverse bearish force appears, it indicates this 6-hour rebound is likely nearing its end, but the weakening will not happen immediately and still needs time to digest
$BTC
$ETH
The RSI on Bitcoin's 8-hour cycle has fallen back near the midpoint, roughly around the 50 line.
According to common experience, this position often supports a rebound, but the chance of it directly turning strong and forming an effective upward reversal is not very high.
Currently, the short-term positions entered at this price level are inherently unstable and prone to exit at any time; meanwhile, the short-term chips bought near 75000 and not yet sold are more likely to wait for a rebound before selling.
The combination of these two types of funds creates certain selling pressure and leaves corresponding traces on the candlestick pattern.