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牛市做空!越挫越勇!跟单必死!

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Brothers of the $BTC bears, don't panic, keep calm, next week is when the market will reveal the truth. I still remain optimistic that the crypto space will most likely experience a waterfall decline next week. Recently, there have been many consecutive false breakouts; every time the price surges upward, it is ultimately pushed back down. The upward momentum has long since faded. This kind of movement is very frustrating—small rallies give the bulls hope to start, but once chasing funds enter, the price immediately reverses and falls back. Today's market is the same as usual; even if Ethereum briefly breaks 2700, it will still be pressured and pulled back in the end. Repeated attempts to break through but failing to hold essentially mean the bulls lack enough strength to push higher; it's just a rebound to lure buyers. The bulls are exhausted time and again, the upward attack weakens, and the longer the consolidation, the greater the chance of a downward breakout later. Don't be fooled by short-term small green candles, don't casually bottom-fish or go long. Patiently hold your short positions and wait; the real big move is coming soon $ETH $ZEC #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入,ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特:美债收益率上升符合全球趋势
MUUSDTPerp30xSellOpen position
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+78.84%
Snapshot at Oct 04, 2026, 13:04
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In the $SNDK market, there's a common saying: if good news doesn't push the price up, it's actually bad news. Currently, the overall environment is clearly warming up, and various risk assets are rising, but SanDisk has remained flat. The core reason is that no new funds are willing to enter and take over. Many top institutions have quietly exited; David Tepper completely liquidated his position in Q2, leaving not a single share; Renaissance Technologies has almost fully cut its holdings, reducing by as much as 99.4%. Morningstar's fair value estimate is only 1000, and compared to the current price, the premium has exceeded 70%, indicating the stock is clearly overvalued. With institutions continuously fleeing and valuations severely stretched, even when the broader market is favorable, the stock can't rise. These three factors combined make the future direction quite clear. Without incremental funds driving it, even if the sector performs well, individual stocks will struggle to mount a decent rebound. Once market sentiment weakens, a valuation correction is likely. Operationally, be very cautious and avoid blindly bottom-fishing $BTC $ETH #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张,G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
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-12.37%
Snapshot at Oct 04, 2026, 05:39
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$BTC surged last night but then pulled back Mainly for two reasons Non-farm payrolls missed expectations Combined with spot ETF outflows The crypto market is inherently a game of speculation When funds flow out Others will flow in MicroStrategy-led treasury companies Are still continuously buying Falling from 87239 to 84600 Just giving those who haven't entered a chance to buy the dip The impact from macro data Is ultimately just a short-term disturbance BTC has its own market cycle With nearly two trillion in market cap It can't be shaken by outflows of just tens of billions Current strategy remains unchanged Bullish on BTC below 85000 Boldly buy the dip on opportunities $ETH $ZEC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张,G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
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-12.07%
Snapshot at Oct 03, 2026, 16:05
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$BTC Currently, BTC is repeatedly tugging at the 85,000 mark, with intense battles between bulls and bears on the chart. There is no clear one-sided direction in the short term, and the overall trend is a volatile grinding pattern. 80,000 is the key watershed level for BTC in Q4 and also a critical strong support. As long as the price can firmly hold this level, the bullish trend has room to continue. The rebound target can first look at the 87,000 level, and after a strong breakout, it is expected to challenge the high of 90,000. ETH is currently consolidating sideways with weak overall momentum and has not shown a strong rebound. 2,700 is an important short-term support level; if the price effectively breaks below this, the bearish trend will intensify, and downside risk will continue to increase. The altcoin ZEC, after a deep correction, has fully released the previously overbought technical pressure, effectively repairing market risk. At this stage, the overall market shakeout rhythm is fierce, with market makers repeatedly sweeping orders to harvest, causing volatile price swings. Operations must be cautious, avoid blindly chasing highs, and patiently wait for the market to show a clear direction! #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张,G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 $ETH $ZEC
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
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-13.72%
Snapshot at Oct 03, 2026, 11:10
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$BTC Nonfarm payroll night, a typical case of all the good news being priced in, the market immediately reversed to harvest. The nonfarm data came out with only 29,000 new jobs, far below the market estimate of 90,000. Last month's data was also revised downward, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. Looking at the data alone, it should have been positive for the market, but the market first rallied to lure buyers, then quickly crashed. The Nasdaq QQQ broke through 746 to reach 754, a record high, but couldn't hold the high level and fell back to test 740. If 740 doesn't hold, this strong rally will be in question; only if it holds is there a chance to push higher again. Bitcoin followed a very familiar pattern: after the data release, it quickly rose from 86000 to 87200, many rushed to buy, but selling pressure came immediately, causing a plunge down to 85500. Short-term moving averages all turned down, showing weakness in the short term. The next key support to watch is 84200. Ethereum slowly rose to 2777 during the day, but after all the good news was digested, a large bearish candle wiped out all gains, dropping to around 2700, with strong bearish pressure. If 2700 doesn't hold, it will test 2640. $ETH $ZEC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高,长期利率压力未缓解
MUUSDTPerp30xSellOpen position
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+68.23%
Snapshot at Oct 03, 2026, 06:05
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$BTC Non-farm payrolls are tonight, which is prone to triggering a major market reversal. The market looks like it's taking off across the board, but don't get impulsive and chase longs directly; it's very easy to get caught at the peak after a sudden waterfall drop. BTC has been consolidating for a long time, and after stabilizing support, it strengthened again. This morning it surged straight from 84000 to 86800, met resistance at the high, and has now pulled back to oscillate around 86000. As long as it can hold the key support later, there is still a chance to move higher. Compared to BTC, ETH's trend is clearly weaker. It held above 2700 this morning, only surged to 2730, then caught up later, reaching a high of 2777, but then lost momentum and pulled back. Non-farm payroll volatility is fast, chasing highs carries high risk, so don't enter blindly. $ETH $ZEC #9月非农今晚公布,加息预期成焦点 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高,长期利率压力未缓解
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
Trade
-41.76%
Snapshot at Oct 02, 2026, 20:31
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$BTC surged to 87390 and then started to adjust, and today marks exactly ten days. It has been oscillating back and forth for so long without breaking out in a new direction. Based on my long-term review experience of $BTC's trend, large-scale adjustments often last for 15 days, 30 days, or 60 days. Starting from the recent high, the critical 15-day window is approaching, which corresponds roughly to the last day of the National Day holiday. In other words, from now until this time window arrives, the market will most likely remain range-bound, making it difficult to sustain a continuous one-sided rise or fall. In a choppy market, stop losses are easily triggered repeatedly, and frequent trading can lead to repeated losses. There's no need to rush to bet on long or short positions prematurely; patiently wait for the time window to materialize and for the market to choose a direction before taking action, which will be much safer. The cycle pattern is just a historical statistic and cannot guarantee it will definitely play out $ETH $SNDK #9月非农今晚公布,加息预期成焦点 #美伊升级风险再升,布油重回100美元 #美债收益率频创新高,长期利率压力未缓解
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
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-52.07%
Snapshot at Oct 02, 2026, 11:21
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$MU just finished summarizing the key points from Micron's latest earnings report. In simple terms, Micron no longer relies on consumer-grade memory for profits; the consumer segment's share is almost gone, and revenue is basically supported entirely by data centers. Major clients have directly locked in long-term supply contracts in advance, with these long-term orders accounting for about a quarter of total revenue through 2030. Clients have prepaid deposits of 32 billion, with all pending orders totaling 150 billion, roughly 17% in deposits. Clients are afraid of not getting the products, so they are prepaying to secure production capacity. Many think the production expansion is limited by machines, but that's not the case. Equipment is not a concern; the real bottleneck is the cleanroom. Building new cleanrooms takes at least two to three years, which coincides with this storage market cycle. The shortage is in construction workers and the long construction period, which is a hard constraint and cannot be rushed. Another crucial point: everyone talks about a shortage of computing power, but the bottleneck is not the chips themselves. The real limit is that new data centers have to queue for grid connection approvals. This is a genuine physical limit that storytelling alone cannot solve. Even if the chips are ready, if the data center can't connect to power, the computing power cannot go online $ETH $BTC #加息预期推迟,9月非农成下一关键 #美债收益率频创新高,长期利率压力未缓解 #比特币ETF连续9日流入,ETH转流出
MUUSDTPerp30xSellOpen position
Trade
+22.30%
Snapshot at Oct 02, 2026, 05:37
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$BTC The U.S. Treasury has just repurchased $6 billion of its own debt. Here’s the key point: it’s been less than a week since the last repurchase, and they’re acting consecutively. This move directly signals that the depreciation of the dollar is accelerating. A weaker dollar is a solid positive for BTC. This is not just ordinary small news; it’s a macro-level catalyst that can easily drive the market to a major move. Be sure to closely watch the subsequent market reactions. $ETH $ZEC #加息预期推迟,9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入,ETH转流出 #美债收益率频创新高,长期利率压力未缓解
MUUSDTPerp30xSellOpen position
Trade
+3.11%
Snapshot at Oct 02, 2026, 04:05