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比特帝剧本哥
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对BTC来说,这可不是什么舒服的环境
一边是ETF资金持续布局
另一边是高利率压着流动性
机构愿意买,不代表大饼就能马上涨
因为真正决定行情能不能持续的
还是市场有没有足够的钱
我觉得现在最值得警惕的
不是美联储再加25个基点
而是高利率一直不下来
加一次息,市场可能疼几天
但高利率持续几个月
资金成本就会一直压着风险资产
说白了,短期加息是挨一拳
长期高利率是慢慢放血
接下来就看CPI能不能继续降温
$BTC
【Crypto Circle Script】
#9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息
I am Script Brother, and this time the FOMC minutes are out.
I find the market increasingly interesting.
Clearly, the nonfarm payrolls are so poor, yet the Federal Reserve is still discussing continuing rate hikes.
To put it plainly, the economy is almost hitting the brakes, but the Fed is still worried the car is going too fast.
Because a cooling job market doesn’t mean inflation is solved.
Especially energy prices and tariffs, these things could cause inflation to rise again at any time.
Right now, the Fed’s most awkward position is: afraid of inflation rebounding if they don’t raise rates, but afraid of crashing the economy if they do.
So although the probability of pausing rate hikes in October is very high, it doesn’t mean the end of hikes within the year for $BTC $ETH $ZEC
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