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两天摔了三百刀,图先说话 K 线摊开一目了然。10/04 冲上波段峰 2,739 之后连泄三天,10/05、10/06 还只是缩量装死,10/07 直接一根大阴从 2,696 砸到 2,573,10/08 再补一刀,最低探到 2,405,收 2,474——两天蒸发 222 刀、跌幅 8.2%,$ETH 这波跳水姿势比隔壁标准得多。今天反弹回 2,493,量能却缩成前一天的零头,像大跌散场后没人敢先开口说话。 图上蓝虚线把反弹路标到 T1 2,616、T2 2,711,可现价头顶先压着三道闸:下降压力线压到 2,520 附近、10/07 破位口 2,535、10/08 阴线实体上沿 2,572-2,587——想谈 T1 得连闯三关,概率跟黄金周高速服务区不用排队差不多。脚底 2,405 是 7 日铁底,跌破的话图上给的备选回踩位是 2,357,空单到那儿再考虑收工。
colword.std
colword.std
Main focus $ETH | Strategy: short on rebound, the floor bounced a bit, the ceiling hasn't moved at all $ETH current price 2,493, direction short, order placed not far above the head. Short on rebound to 2,535-2,575 — the floor that was broken through a couple of days ago is now converted into the ceiling; stop loss at 2,630, target first at 2,405 (7-day low), if broken down then to 2,357, leverage capped at 3x. Reason in one sentence: since falling from 2,739, every floor that collapsed has been conveniently turned into the next ceiling. The 2,535 level smashed on 10/07 and the upper edge of the bearish candle body at 2,572-2,587 on 10/08 are all lined up overhead waiting for a rebound to deliver shorting opportunities. $ETH bulls have been on a deep "pain city" tour these past two days: numb feet, numb accounts, and even losing money on checkout. Today's small-volume bullish candle finally shows some "signs of life," unlike the machine orders exploding everywhere the past two days — but until the ceiling moves, live traders shouldn't rush upstairs.

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