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Hashmeta_x
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Key levels to watch
Resistance: 85,402 (double resistance), then 87,000–$87,500.
Support: $82,500 (Bollinger lower band plus liquidation cluster). Deeper support is Glassnode's true market mean at $77,200 a daily close below that would end the current uptrend.
Sentiment is cooling, not defensive
The Fear & Greed Index has dropped from 82 (extreme greed) in late August to 65 67 (greed). MVRV is around 1.6, far from historical euphoria. The market is digesting gains, not panicking.
$BTC 在10月1日推高至大约84,000–102.7M,10月2日又增加了31.7M。资金正在流入,但价格并未跟随上涨。这就是矛盾所在。
为什么价格在87K被拒绝
该水平一直是近期通道的上限,多次拒绝价格突破。链上数据显示,鲸鱼在冲击该区间时卖出了大约30,000 BTC(约25.2亿美元),几乎与技术阻力完美吻合。这是获利了结,而非恐慌抛售。
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