#OctoberRateHikeOdds

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About OctoberRateHikeOdds

US August PCE data is due at 8:30 am ET on Sept 30, becoming a key test for October rate expectations. CME FedWatch pricing for another 25bp hike reportedly neared 70% before falling to around 50%. Fed officials remain wary of inflation but differ on timing: Governor Barr sees rising risks, while NY Fed President Williams says policymakers can wait for more data after September’s hike. Can PCE confirm further disinflation before Sept payrolls data on Oct 2?

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