还是那个王先生
还是那个王先生
星球创作者📝 | 合约爆仓常客💥 | 多币种持有者💎 | 无情交易员❄️
444Following
1.3Kfollowers
Feed
Feed
Pinned
Mr. Wang Talks Crypto｜2026.10.04
Today's key focus: $BTC, $ZEC, $HYPE ① $BTC | Current price 84827, peaked at 87150 early morning, lowest retracement at 83884, a sharp fluctuation of over 3200 dollars up and down, now back near 84827, down 0.58%. Trading volume 5625 coins, trading amount 479 million. RSI6 around 79, relatively high, price above the BOLL middle band at 84658, trend is bullish but short-term overbought. Failed to hold 87000, indicating significant resistance above. I see 85000 as short-term resistance, wait for a pullback to 84200-84500 to watch again, defense at 83000, expected upside 86000-87000. ② $ZEC | Current price 1308, yesterday's high 1334, low 1283, fluctuated over 50 points, now back near 1308, almost unchanged. Trading volume 32,400 coins, trading amount 42.32 million. RSI6 around 41, price hovering near BOLL middle band at 1309, direction unclear. $ZEC dropped from 1334 to 1283 then bounced back to 1308, short-term oscillating near 1300. Wait for a pullback to 1280-1290 to watch again, defense at 1230, expected upside 1350-1380. ③ $HYPE | Current price 89.745, yesterday's high 89.87, low 87.756, fluctuated over 2 points, now back near 89.745, up 0.96%. Trading volume 116,300 coins, trading amount 10
No new positions opened today, still holding that $BTC short, entered at 83607, mark price 85205, floating loss of 19%, still not out of the red, quite frustrating. Also holding a $ZEC short, entered at 1316, now at 1325, small floating loss of 6%, holding for now to see. Both positions are at a floating loss, no moves, just enduring. Screenshot attached.
In this market, surviving is a victory. Did you hold on today? #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #ZEC跻身前十，机构化进程提速 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
-18.74%
Snapshot at 05 Oct 2026, 00:23
Scrolling through the group chat, I saw someone posted a screenshot showing a $BTC long position, up 50%.
Entered at 84815, current price 85242, 100x leverage. The price only went up a few points, with an unrealized profit of over 6500 U. This guy held on steadily all the way up.
I glanced at the chart twice, about to feel sour, but then I noticed four small words in the corner — "simulated trading."
Wow, making 6500 U on a demo account and coming to the group to post a screenshot. My FOMO instantly calmed down, and I even felt like laughing.
Is there anyone in the comments who almost got fooled by a simulated account like me? Let's talk.😑#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 #波动雷达：币种异动观察
-20.10%
Snapshot at 04 Oct 2026, 19:28
$ZEC bounced back to 1316, and I couldn't resist opening a small short position 👊
ZEC pulled from 1283 up to 1334 today and then fell back, currently priced at 1316, up slightly 1.04% in 24 hours. It's still up 33% over 30 days, but down 16.75% in the last 7 days, clearly showing a retreat after a strong previous surge. Grayscale's ZCSH sees a weekly net outflow of 93.56 million, funds are withdrawing, and ETF outflows are not a good sign.
RSI6 surged to 77, the upper Bollinger band at 1319 is pressing down on the price, the signs of a pullback after a spike are quite obvious. Seeing it rebound near 1316, I couldn't resist opening a small short position, betting that the rebound will be weak and the price will continue downward. The previous high at 1334 is the stop-loss line; if it breaks, I'll accept the loss.
For coins retreating from a high level like this, rebounds just give shorts an opportunity, but you have to be careful of a sudden spike.
Brothers, do you dare to short on this kind of rebound? Can I make a profit on this trade? Let's discuss in the comments.🙈#波动雷达：币种异动观察 #ZEC跻身前十，机构化进程提速 #OKX星球话题来啦
+0.88%
Snapshot at 04 Oct 2026, 12:53
G7 is releasing 100 million barrels of crude oil to put out the fire, can BTC benefit from this? 👊
The Middle East situation remains unsettled, with the Strait of Hormuz hanging in the balance, making global energy supply very tense. When oil and fuel prices rise, ordinary people can't bear it, and the G7 (US, UK, France, Germany, Japan) can't sit still either. On October 2, they held a video conference and decided to coordinate through the IEA to release up to 100 million barrels of crude oil and refined products over the next four months, prioritizing diesel release in the first 20 days.
This move is basically firefighting. Europe must be extremely tight on diesel, otherwise they wouldn't prioritize releasing diesel. In the short term, this 100 million barrels will definitely help suppress oil prices. With energy prices down, inflation pressure can ease a bit, which is good news for the Federal Reserve, allowing the tightening of rate hikes to loosen slightly.
For the crypto community, this is a somewhat positive signal. With inflation expectations cooling, US Treasury yields tend to fall, giving BTC, a liquidity-sensitive risk asset, some breathing room. But the Middle East is too unpredictable; if conflicts escalate, oil prices will surge again, making this 100 million barrels just a drop in the bucket.
My judgment is that this is a short-term positive for $BTC recovery, but don't expect a one-sided big rally; keep an eye on US Treasury yields and geopolitical developments.
Comment below, do you think this release of crude oil reserves can hold down oil prices? $CL $BZ 🙈#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
-0.10%
Snapshot at 04 Oct 2026, 10:42
$BTC surged then fell back, my short position is still stuck and uncomfortable 👊
Bitcoin touched 84912 today then slipped back to 84827, down 0.58% in 24 hours. RSI6 surged to 79, the upper Bollinger band at 84817 was pierced but didn’t hold, MACD red bars remain but clearly weakening.
My short position is still stuck; I originally bet on a surge then a fall, but it’s hovering around 84800 without dropping. The Bollinger middle band at 84658 is short-term support; if it holds, I have to wait it out, if it breaks, there’s hope. The previous high at 84912 is the stop-loss reference; if it surges above that, I’ll have to consider cutting losses.
VanEck says Bitcoin is in the early stage of a bull market, targeting gold’s market cap long-term, the news is positive, so short pressure is significant.
Brothers, do you have short positions? Can you still hold at this level? Let’s chat in the comments.🙈#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #波动雷达：币种异动观察 #创作者激励
-14.30%
Snapshot at 03 Oct 2026, 20:48
Nonfarm payroll data exploded. Only 29,000 jobs were added in September, while the market expected 85,000, nearly three times the difference. Even worse, the previous two months were revised down by a total of 60,000, with July directly turning into a decrease of 10,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, hourly wages increased by only 0.1% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year, all signaling a cooling down.
The market reaction was very direct: the probability of a rate hike in October dropped from 24% before the data to below 18%, and the 2-year US Treasury yield once plunged 10 basis points. Jefferson and Williams hinted a few days ago that there was no rush, and this data essentially confirmed their stance. But the bond market then made a V-shaped reversal, with the 10-year yield pulling back above 5.30% by midday—the short end is trading "no rate hike," while the long end is still worried about inflation and fiscal deficits.
$BTC leveraged this momentum to surge above 87,000, rising about 2% in 24 hours, with shorts getting liquidated again. The logic is simple: rate hike pressure is temporarily eased, so liquidity-sensitive assets can breathe a sigh of relief. But don’t celebrate too early; the long-end US Treasuries are still hanging above 5%, and the October CPI is the real hurdle. Nonfarm payrolls saved the short term but not the long end.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
-11.81%
Snapshot at 03 Oct 2026, 19:13
Mr. Wang Talks Crypto | 2026.10.03
Busy all day today, the article is a bit late today. Today's highlights: BTC is hovering around 84.5k, ZEC fell below 1,340, CT new coin surged then pulled back. Stablecoin market cap has shrunk by $14 billion since May, liquidity recovery is still insufficient. $BTC Current price 84,573, down 0.88%, falling from 87,238 down to 83,884. Stablecoin market cap has shrunk by $14 billion since May, liquidity recovery remains insufficient, funds are still tight. Resistance above at 84,669, support below at 84,558. Those wanting to get in should wait for a pullback near 84,000 before moving, if it breaks below 83,500 then exit. 📉 RSI6 is at 38, weak but not collapsed, low volume sideways waiting for direction, don't rush to buy. $ZEC Current price 1,318, down 3.94%, falling from 1,412 down to 1,271. Grayscale's ZCSH recorded weekly outflows amid privacy pool concerns, once ETF funds withdraw the price can't hold. Resistance above at 1,320, support below at 1,311. Hold your positions and watch, those wanting to get in should wait for a pullback near 1,280 before entering, exit if it breaks below 1,250. ⚠️ Dual pressure from ETF outflows + privacy pool concerns, don't catch the falling knife short term, wait for funds to return. $CT Current price 0.5124, down 0.52%, falling from a high of 0.6126 down to 0.4810. After the new coin listing, it first pumped then dumped, volume still at 145 million, indicating intense speculation. Resistance above at 0.55
$BTC short position is still holding, opened a few days ago, no new positions opened today. Mark price 85039, floating loss of 17%, a bit better than a few days ago, but still not out of the red. Just hanging on, waiting to see when it can turn around. Screenshot attached.
In this market, surviving is a victory. Did you hold on today? #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #波动雷达：币种异动观察
-17.00%
Snapshot at 03 Oct 2026, 00:42
Which red line in your trading rules must never be crossed?
My red line: No contracts, no leverage
After years in the crypto circle, I've drawn many lines for myself, but the one I strictly adhere to is never touching contracts or leverage.
The reason is simple: if spot prices drop, you still hold the coins; at worst, you play dead and wait for the next bull market. If a contract blows up, it's truly gone, no chance to recover. When $BTC fell from 60,000 to 16,000, those holding spot gritted their teeth and held on, while those with 10x long contracts were wiped out long ago.
I've seen too many people make some money on spot, think they're geniuses, then turn to contracts. They start with small positions and win; add more and win again; finally go all-in, and a single spike wipes them out, losing both principal and profits to the market.
The cruelest thing about leverage isn't just losing money, it's getting addicted. Those who made quick money no longer care about the small fluctuations in spot. But this market punishes all arrogance—the more you think you understand it, the harder it slaps you in the face.
So I'd rather earn less and avoid this line. Even if $ETH and $BTC skyrocket, I won't envy it. Staying alive means there's a next round.
What's your red line? #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到