Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
推特同名@Crypto_猫哥 币圈八年老韭菜 全世界最全的、最详细的BTC行情分析 点点关注、关注必回
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$BTC
Brothers, you can interact more under my posts
Then join the group I pinned
Those who interact will get red envelopes
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$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Conclusion first
We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30%
Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB
If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP
Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation
I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back
Let's all get rich together
$BTC
After BTC reclaimed $85,000, my bias remains bullish, but I’m not chasing the momentum.
On the 1-hour chart, the price is roughly around 85,100, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 approximately at 84,996, 84,899, and 84,874 respectively. The three short-term moving averages have formed a slight bullish alignment, and the price has returned above the moving averages, indicating signs of short-term buying recovery.
The issue is that the 85,200 area is close to the 24-hour high. Previously, after breaking 86,000, the price dropped quickly. Now it looks more like a second attempt upward, so I don’t plan to aggressively add long positions directly at 85,100.
The approach can be divided into two parts:
Buy on pullback. If the price falls back to 84,750–84,950 without a valid break below on the 1-hour chart and without a significant increase in volume, you can scale into long positions. Place stop loss below 84,450. The first target is 85,300, then 85,800–86,100.
Buy on breakout. If volume surges and the price breaks above 85,300 and holds on the 1-hour chart, it indicates the short-term consolidation is broken, so you can follow with some long positions. The next targets are 85,800, then 86,300–86,800.
Conversely, if 84,500 is broken decisively, the bullish thesis is invalidated. If the price then rebounds near 84,700 but fails to hold, consider shorting. The downside target to watch is 84,000
$BTC
$ETH
The early session closed with a small bullish candle, and the intraday trend is most likely to be sideways consolidation.
If we consider 8.31 as a phase low, structurally it can be seen as a W-bottom rebound that touched 8.68 before pulling back. The M-top retracement marked by the blue line is basically complete.
In the short term, the price will mostly oscillate around 8.48, making it difficult to form a strong single-direction move during the day.
The key level to watch is 8.52: if it holds and breaks through effectively, continue to go long following the rebound; if it spikes up but then falls back, treat it as an M-top retracement and go short accordingly.
The higher level at 8.68 remains the M-top resistance. If it tests this level again but fails to hold, it may develop into a multiple top followed by a pullback. This level is suitable for light short positions as a preemptive setup.
$BTC
The recent trend of BTC is pretty much what I predicted before. It formed a double top and then dropped sharply. However, the support during this drop was very weak, falling below expectations.
The two shaded areas in the middle of the chart should have been support levels, but they were directly broken through and didn't hold. Last night, the US stock market actually performed quite well, so BTC's reaction clearly shows that the 87,000 resistance is very strong.
Overall, it's still within a large consolidation range. I currently remain bearish on 82,000. And this time, I think it is very likely to break below because this move is weaker than expected. The key levels are all marked on the chart. The support to watch first is 82,000, then 80,000.
$BTC
$ETH
After the release of the strong non-farm payroll data last night, BTC surged to a high of 8.72, then formed a W double bottom rebound pattern as the positive news settled, completing the rebound and falling back to the 8.52-8.31 consolidation range.
Given that the US stock market is closed over the weekend and the Asian market is on National Day holiday, market liquidity is insufficient, so the price will likely move sideways around 8.4, with a recommendation to watch more and trade less during the weekend holiday
$BTC
$ETH
The day before yesterday I said, build your position slowly, don’t rush in.
Last night BTC tried to break through 87k but then fell back into the range. From the candlestick chart, even if BTC drops to 80k and then rebounds, the structure still shows an upward trend.
My previous view hasn’t changed: every pullback is a buying opportunity. Continue building positions in quality projects, but don’t trade excessively and lose money.
In the past few weeks, many people have lost half of the one million dollars they earned. I’m basically safe because I bottomed out early at 60k. When the price reached 80k, I didn’t add more risk, just took some profits and then continued holding the positions built at 60k
$BTC
Last night BTC once again reached 87-88k
Then quickly dropped down, proving there is very strong selling pressure around 87-88k
The market is expected to continue oscillating
Continue following the plan: friends with low positions can add small positions at 82k
Friends with heavy positions should fully buy at 79k
Brother Mao's credibility is still rising
Brothers who haven't joined the group, join the group on my homepage
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
$BTC
Will the previously predicted M top form?
On the 25th of last month, the M top was predicted.
Until it completely breaks below 82.8K, this remains the current thinking.
At present, the probability of an M top is increasing.
First, the current mindset is bullish because the daily chart has already reversed; no matter how it falls, the pattern can currently only be seen as a pullback. (A wide-range consolidation is not ruled out)
Then, in the short term, the daily volume is insufficient, and the 4-hour volume is not enough to support the price rising too high. However, the MACD daily chart shows a golden cross trend.
So I judge that in the next 3 days, BTC will still make a push upwards.
Whether a new high (blue line) will appear is unpredictable. The right head might be lower (red line), but it’s hard to say.
However, if the top day shows a volume surge with a rapid drop and a daily bearish engulfing candle appears, then opening a short position can be considered.
Huh?
Even Old Ma can be dumped?
Shivon Zilis
It’s hard to go from in love to let go in a week with no warning, but that’s just how it is sometimes 🤷🏻♀️
I feel happy that I got to show Elon how it feels to be deeply understood, nurtured, and peacefully loved with stability and gentleness. Given the tumultuous nature of his early life, his often tortured soul, and how hard he fights for humanity I wanted him to feel the deepest and most stable form of love this world can provide. My heart is full knowing I got to do that, and I hope it leaves a lasting good effect.
We were always his safe space. A place where all of us were overjoyed to see him and one that was always full of happiness and love, not war, in contrast to his otherwise militant existence (a needed break from the battlefield where he could recharge his heart and soul before heading back out)
I loved being that counterbalancing place of safety, sense of calm, and love — and delighted in bringing a smile back to his face when he was down. I will miss him dearly.
I’ve loved him more than life itself and he’s taught me 100 lifetimes of knowledge and made my cup overflow with life meaning, so there is a lot of loss, but luckily we created four beautiful little loves of my life ❤️❤️❤️❤️ I am so beyond grateful for our children and they make every single day the best day of my life! I do hope and pray he and I can be great friends and coparents.
I’m hurting, but care deeply about E and will always be cheering for his happiness. God speed, Elon, the world is lucky to have you.
$BTC
Will the previously predicted M top form?
On the 25th of last month, the M top was predicted.
Until it completely breaks below 82.8K, this remains the current thinking.
At present, the probability of an M top is increasing.
First, the current mindset is bullish because the daily chart has already reversed; no matter how it falls, the pattern can currently only be seen as a pullback. (A wide-range consolidation is not ruled out)
Then, in the short term, the daily volume is insufficient, and the 4-hour volume is not enough to support the price rising too high. However, the MACD daily chart shows a golden cross trend.
So I judge that in the next 3 days, BTC will still make a push upwards.
Whether a new high (blue line) will appear is unpredictable. The right head might be lower (red line), but it’s hard to say.
However, if the top day shows a volume surge with a rapid drop and a daily bearish engulfing candle appears, then opening a short position can be considered.
$BTC
$ETH
It's Friday, tonight is the Nonfarm Payrolls report, focus on two key points tonight
1️⃣ Unemployment Rate expected at 4.1%, previous value 4.1%
Above 4.1%: Indicates cooling in the job market, reducing pressure for the Fed to continue raising rates, generally positive for the crypto space.
Below 4.1%: Indicates the labor market remains tight, giving the Fed more reason to stay hawkish, generally negative for the crypto space.
2️⃣ Nonfarm Payrolls expected at 90,000, previous value 162,000
Above 90,000: Employment stronger than market expectations → rate hike/high interest rate expectations rise → US Treasury yields and USD strengthen → BTC/ETH under pressure.
Below 90,000: Employment cools → rate hike expectations decline → US Treasury yields and USD weaken → BTC/ETH benefit.