路一、

路一、

牛市做空!越挫越勇!跟单必死!

1.1KFollowing
1.2Kfollowers

Feed

路一、
路一、
$ZEC $BTC current price 86316, increase of 1.29%. This surge came very suddenly; last night it was hovering around 84600, then at dawn it directly surged to 86600, very close to the 87000 mark. Previously hesitated around 84000 and missed the entry, now can only watch helplessly. Chasing high risks a pullback and getting stuck, not entering risks the market surging directly to ninety thousand, the feeling of missing out is indeed agonizing. $ETH current price 2727, increase of 1.11%. Ethereum warmed up following Bitcoin and stabilized above 2700, but the old problem remains: the upward momentum is clearly weaker than Bitcoin’s, and once it pulls back, it falls quickly and sharply. Many friends with stuck long positions finally see a glimmer of hope, but there is still a considerable gap to break even, all hoping this round can hold steady and provide a chance to exit the trap. $ZEC current price 1349, increase of 2.03%. It has been continuously retreating and tormenting over the past week, dropping about 12% earlier, but today finally sees a rebound. It is inherently a high-volatility asset; whether this rebound can continue depends on whether the overall market can hold steady. Do not rush to heavily buy the dip #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入,ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特:美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 $ZEC $ETH
MUUSDTPerp30xSellOpen position
Trade
+46.72%
Snapshot at 05 Oct 2026, 09:38
路一、
路一、
$SNDK has risen by about 120% in the first half of this year. Among a range of U.S. stocks, this performance is very impressive. Even the so-called big rocket $SPCX hasn't been able to achieve such a trend. Before the big rocket went public, market expectations were extremely high, and it surged dramatically at the opening, creating a very sensational scene. However, its market trend is inherently extreme: it continuously rises when hot, but once the momentum cools, it starts a long decline, falling all the way to the point of losing investor confidence. In contrast, SanDisk did not have a spectacular explosion at the beginning of its listing. Its subsequent trend was steady and solid, which is how a quality growth stock should behave. Supported by fundamentals, it has long-term value and is suitable for holding spot positions over the long term. However, after this round of significant gains, it has accumulated a large amount of profit-taking pressure, so there is short-term correction risk. Therefore, operations should be viewed separately for long and short terms: remain optimistic for the long term, while short-term positions can be selectively shorted. After a big rise, do not blindly chase highs; manage your position size well to avoid losses caused by short-term pullbacks. $BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入,ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特:美债收益率上升符合全球趋势
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
Trade
-13.96%
Snapshot at 04 Oct 2026, 22:02
路一、
路一、
$BTC $BTC key focus is whether it can hold above 85000. Only by effectively holding this level can there be a chance to continue opening upward space; if it repeatedly fails to hold, short-term will continue to maintain a volatile consolidation. $ETH regards 2700 as the core short-term resistance. Whether it can break through smoothly directly determines if this rebound can continue; failure to break through will likely lead to renewed pressure and decline. As for $ZEC, it is inherently a highly volatile asset, with sharp rises and falls being very common. Compared to guessing price direction or betting on trends, proper position control is the top priority. During periods of intense market volatility, the biggest losers are emotional traders. Once emotions are driven by market ups and downs, it’s easy to recklessly chase highs and sell lows. Whether bullish or bearish, always set stop losses in advance, strictly manage positions, avoid heavy single trades, and always prioritize protecting your principal $ETH $ZEC #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入,ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特:美债收益率上升符合全球趋势
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
Trade
-11.31%
Snapshot at 04 Oct 2026, 16:31
路一、
路一、
Brothers of the $BTC bears, don't panic, keep calm, next week is when the market will reveal the truth. I still remain optimistic that the crypto space will most likely experience a waterfall decline next week. Recently, there have been many consecutive false breakouts; every time the price surges upward, it is ultimately pushed back down. The upward momentum has long since faded. This kind of movement is very frustrating—small rallies give the bulls hope to start, but once chasing funds enter, the price immediately reverses and falls back. Today's market is the same as usual; even if Ethereum briefly breaks 2700, it will still be pressured and pulled back in the end. Repeated attempts to break through but failing to hold essentially mean the bulls lack enough strength to push higher; it's just a rebound to lure buyers. The bulls are exhausted time and again, the upward attack weakens, and the longer the consolidation, the greater the chance of a downward breakout later. Don't be fooled by short-term small green candles, don't casually bottom-fish or go long. Patiently hold your short positions and wait; the real big move is coming soon $ETH $ZEC #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入,ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特:美债收益率上升符合全球趋势
MUUSDTPerp30xSellOpen position
Trade
+78.84%
Snapshot at 04 Oct 2026, 13:04
路一、
路一、
$ZEC did experience a rebound today, but don't be mistaken into thinking the downtrend is over; it is still suitable to follow the trend and short. After the price pulled back, the main funds did not stop; they are still continuously increasing short positions. This can be seen from the smart money position data: the number of short accounts decreased by 75, but the total short amount actually increased by more than 22 million U against the trend. Normally, when the price falls back, the floating profit of existing shorts would shrink, and the position funds should decrease. Now, instead of decreasing, they increased, indicating that the main players are using real money to continue heavily shorting at the current rebound level. Currently, the average cost of short positions is at 1299, almost close to the current price. 77% of short accounts in the market are now profitable, but the overall short ledger still shows a slight loss of 410,000. This signal is very important, indicating that this batch of newly added heavy short positions entered near the current price level. $ETH $BTC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张,G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
ZECUSDTfutures gridOngoing
Trade
-107.49%
Snapshot at 04 Oct 2026, 08:42
路一、
路一、
In the $SNDK market, there's a common saying: if good news doesn't push the price up, it's actually bad news. Currently, the overall environment is clearly warming up, and various risk assets are rising, but SanDisk has remained flat. The core reason is that no new funds are willing to enter and take over. Many top institutions have quietly exited; David Tepper completely liquidated his position in Q2, leaving not a single share; Renaissance Technologies has almost fully cut its holdings, reducing by as much as 99.4%. Morningstar's fair value estimate is only 1000, and compared to the current price, the premium has exceeded 70%, indicating the stock is clearly overvalued. With institutions continuously fleeing and valuations severely stretched, even when the broader market is favorable, the stock can't rise. These three factors combined make the future direction quite clear. Without incremental funds driving it, even if the sector performs well, individual stocks will struggle to mount a decent rebound. Once market sentiment weakens, a valuation correction is likely. Operationally, be very cautious and avoid blindly bottom-fishing $BTC $ETH #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张,G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
Trade
-12.37%
Snapshot at 04 Oct 2026, 05:39
路一、
路一、
$BTC surged last night but then pulled back Mainly for two reasons Non-farm payrolls missed expectations Combined with spot ETF outflows The crypto market is inherently a game of speculation When funds flow out Others will flow in MicroStrategy-led treasury companies Are still continuously buying Falling from 87239 to 84600 Just giving those who haven't entered a chance to buy the dip The impact from macro data Is ultimately just a short-term disturbance BTC has its own market cycle With nearly two trillion in market cap It can't be shaken by outflows of just tens of billions Current strategy remains unchanged Bullish on BTC below 85000 Boldly buy the dip on opportunities $ETH $ZEC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张,G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
Trade
-12.07%
Snapshot at 03 Oct 2026, 16:05
路一、
路一、
$BTC Currently, BTC is repeatedly tugging at the 85,000 mark, with intense battles between bulls and bears on the chart. There is no clear one-sided direction in the short term, and the overall trend is a volatile grinding pattern. 80,000 is the key watershed level for BTC in Q4 and also a critical strong support. As long as the price can firmly hold this level, the bullish trend has room to continue. The rebound target can first look at the 87,000 level, and after a strong breakout, it is expected to challenge the high of 90,000. ETH is currently consolidating sideways with weak overall momentum and has not shown a strong rebound. 2,700 is an important short-term support level; if the price effectively breaks below this, the bearish trend will intensify, and downside risk will continue to increase. The altcoin ZEC, after a deep correction, has fully released the previously overbought technical pressure, effectively repairing market risk. At this stage, the overall market shakeout rhythm is fierce, with market makers repeatedly sweeping orders to harvest, causing volatile price swings. Operations must be cautious, avoid blindly chasing highs, and patiently wait for the market to show a clear direction! #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张,G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 $ETH $ZEC
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
Trade
-13.72%
Snapshot at 03 Oct 2026, 11:10
路一、
路一、
$BTC Nonfarm payroll night, a typical case of all the good news being priced in, the market immediately reversed to harvest. The nonfarm data came out with only 29,000 new jobs, far below the market estimate of 90,000. Last month's data was also revised downward, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. Looking at the data alone, it should have been positive for the market, but the market first rallied to lure buyers, then quickly crashed. The Nasdaq QQQ broke through 746 to reach 754, a record high, but couldn't hold the high level and fell back to test 740. If 740 doesn't hold, this strong rally will be in question; only if it holds is there a chance to push higher again. Bitcoin followed a very familiar pattern: after the data release, it quickly rose from 86000 to 87200, many rushed to buy, but selling pressure came immediately, causing a plunge down to 85500. Short-term moving averages all turned down, showing weakness in the short term. The next key support to watch is 84200. Ethereum slowly rose to 2777 during the day, but after all the good news was digested, a large bearish candle wiped out all gains, dropping to around 2700, with strong bearish pressure. If 2700 doesn't hold, it will test 2640. $ETH $ZEC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万,失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高,长期利率压力未缓解
MUUSDTPerp30xSellOpen position
Trade
+68.23%
Snapshot at 03 Oct 2026, 06:05
路一、
路一、
$BTC Non-farm payrolls are tonight, which is prone to triggering a major market reversal. The market looks like it's taking off across the board, but don't get impulsive and chase longs directly; it's very easy to get caught at the peak after a sudden waterfall drop. BTC has been consolidating for a long time, and after stabilizing support, it strengthened again. This morning it surged straight from 84000 to 86800, met resistance at the high, and has now pulled back to oscillate around 86000. As long as it can hold the key support later, there is still a chance to move higher. Compared to BTC, ETH's trend is clearly weaker. It held above 2700 this morning, only surged to 2730, then caught up later, reaching a high of 2777, but then lost momentum and pulled back. Non-farm payroll volatility is fast, chasing highs carries high risk, so don't enter blindly. $ETH $ZEC #9月非农今晚公布,加息预期成焦点 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出,资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高,长期利率压力未缓解
SNDKUSDTPerp10xSellOpen position
Trade
-41.76%
Snapshot at 02 Oct 2026, 20:31