10Y US Treasury yield on Friday?

10Y US Treasury yield on Friday?|Live

Live
Match in progress
4.5
Last updated on --.
4.98% or below4.98% or below
52%
Above 4.98%Above 4.98%
49%
Total Volume$171.82
Markets2
Trading ends31 Oct, 03:30

Probability over time

10Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
10Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
Current Selection
Amount
XP
Potential payout -- XP
The data displayed on this page is for reference purposes only and may not reflect real-time market conditions. Please refer to the final order confirmation for the latest odds and pricing.

10Y US Treasury yield on Friday? odds

OutcomeChanceChange (24h)Yes PriceNo Price
4.98% or below
52%-1.89%
Above 4.98%
49%+0%
The percentage shows the market’s estimated chance of that outcome — driven entirely by live trading, not set by OKX. A 52 reading means a Yes share costs 52¢. A correct Yes share returns 1xp at settlement; an incorrect one returns 0xp.

10Y US Treasury yield on Friday? outcome overview

Market Favourite
4.98% or below52% to win
Days to Start
2 Days31 Oct 2026
Total Volume
$171.82↑ 171.82xp today

Market rules

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is at or below 4.98% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026. The resolution source is the U.S. Department of the Treasury: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026

Resolution sources

Related markets

FAQ

Click any outcome row and the trading panel syncs automatically. Select Yes (think it’ll happen) or No (think it won’t happen), enter your amount, and tap place order. You’ll need a free OKX account. Each correct Yes share pays 52¢ at settlement. Open positions remain active until the market closes.
Yes — you can sell your shares at any time before trading closes on 31 Oct 2026. The sale price reflects the market at that moment and may be higher or lower than what you paid. Once trading closes, positions settle at resolution.

Disclaimer

No purchase or payment necessary. This campaign is a free points activity with no funds at risk. Not an offer/solicitation to buy, sell or hold digital assets, which are subject to volatility. Not all products are offered in all regions. T&Cs apply.
10Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
10Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
Current Selection
Amount
XP
Potential payout -- XP
The data displayed on this page is for reference purposes only and may not reflect real-time market conditions. Please refer to the final order confirmation for the latest odds and pricing.