老莫养鱼交易日记
老莫养鱼交易日记
八年币圈生涯 老韭菜一枚～每天分享交易日常以及做单思路！
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🔥 The main group chat is now open! Join the group to catch the market trends together!
$ETH $SNDK
Brothers, the main group chat has been set up, everyone is welcome to join!
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✅ Daily market analysis to stay updated on market hotspots and trend changes
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Trading alone inevitably has blind spots. More communication and review help you see the bigger picture!
If you want to learn more market ideas and meet like-minded trading partners, come join the main group! Let's communicate and grow together, avoid pitfalls, and make more progress in the market! 🚀
#台积电Q3净利润超预期，盈利创历史新高 #奈飞增长或放缓，广告业务成新看点 #特斯拉交付超预期后盈利修复成焦点
$ETH This afternoon's market is really disappointing, even a dog would shake its head—can't go up, can't go down! Will it continue to drop tonight or stabilize above 2400 and push higher?
Looking at the market, Ethereum is still oscillating between 2300 and 2400. There is quarterly-level support around 2300, but support doesn't mean it will immediately rise! Why can't it rally? The key is still the attitude of the funds. Currently, BTC and ETH ETF fund flows are diverging: BTC is seeing inflows, while ETH faces outflow pressure, so market confidence isn't strong enough.
Simply put, what ETH lacks now is a positive catalyst! Tonight, focus on two key levels:
Breaking above 2400 and holding it is the only chance to continue pushing toward 2500. If it breaks below 2300 support, be cautious of further downward adjustment.
Don't rush to chase the rally before a clear breakout. Be patient and wait for the direction to emerge before deciding how to act!
#ETF持续流出，BTC反弹能否延续？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞财报在即，广告业务成新看点 $BTC $ZEC
$ZEC Privacy leader, can it still perform? A low-level opportunity has arrived!🔥
After $ZEC failed to break through 1700, it has been falling all the way down. Now the 1000 level has not been broken for a long time, the market is weak, and the movement of Grayscale funds is also worth paying attention to.
This position is indeed awkward now; going long risks further decline, going short risks a sudden rebound.
Yixuan's idea is simple: since $ZEC follows the overall market, focus on the 80000 support level of Bitcoin!
📌 More conservative: Wait for $ZEC to pull back to around 1050 and stabilize before considering going long.
📌 More aggressive: Around 1100 you can try a light long position, but be sure to set a stop loss.
Remember, support levels are not guaranteed to hold. Don't blindly bottom-fish; wait for signals and control your position size to seize opportunities!
#ETF持续流出，BTC反弹能否延续？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞财报在即，广告业务成新看点 $BTC $ETH
Recently, the market has been repeatedly clearing high-leverage positions, giving neither bulls nor bears any chance to catch their breath!
BTC is oscillating back and forth between 80,000 and 84,000, while Ethereum $ETH is repeatedly consolidating in the 2300-2500 range. Shiba Inu can't seem to fall further; there is indeed support at the bottom. It might be time for it to rise, but the selling pressure above has yet to be broken through.
In this kind of indecisive market, it's easiest for traders chasing rallies and panicking on dips to get repeatedly harvested!
In my view, the key focus going forward is the U.S. midterm elections on November 3!
The market is currently waiting for the election results. If the outcome falls short of market expectations or triggers new policy uncertainties, risk assets may face further selling pressure. Conversely, if the results favor market risk appetite, a rebound could follow.
Additionally, recent institutional fund movements deserve ongoing attention. Inflows into exchanges also warrant caution for potential selling pressure, but funds moving into exchanges do not necessarily mean immediate selling.
Short-term strategy:
BTC: Sell near 82,500-83,000 on confirmed resistance, target 81,000.
Ethereum: Sell near 2440 on resistance, target 2380.
#ETF持续流出，BTC反弹能否延续？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞增长或放缓，广告业务成新看点 $ZEC
$AKE is starting to heat up? It's quite normal to see a rally before unlocking, right?
Tomorrow, tokens worth approximately 64,455,844.01 USD will be unlocked, accounting for about 9.347% of the current circulating market cap. It might be a bit difficult to see a major rally again, but a small rally should be no big problem. Yesterday at 0.029, I also mentioned trying low leverage long positions, which likely can yield some gains.
I think the reason there's no big rally is simple: there's a lot of trapped positions above, and selling pressure is heavy. The pump is still to unload!
#ETF持续流出，BTC反弹能否延续？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞增长或放缓，广告业务成新看点 $BTC $ETH
$SNDK The selling pressure above 1400 remains heavy! The short position strategy has once again been validated! 🔥
Brothers, the pressure above 1400 is still too great!
The US stock market opened with a shorting opportunity, and then the stock price fell all the way down. 1400 has yet to hold firmly, indicating that the selling pressure above has not been fully absorbed. The previous short position strategy around 1400 has also been confirmed by the market.
Next, don’t rush to chase shorts; focus on two key levels below:
📌 1280-1300: The short-term dividing line between bulls and bears!
If it holds at 1280-1300 and shows signs of stabilization: consider lightly trying longs to capture a technical rebound.
If it breaks below 1280 effectively: be cautious of further retesting lower areas, as downside risk may increase.
The key now is not to guess the bottom but to see if the support can truly hold.
If it holds, then consider going long; if it breaks, continue to observe the space below.
React according to how the market moves. Don’t rush to bottom-fish just because it’s fallen a lot, and don’t blindly chase shorts just because you’re bearish. Patiently wait for signals to keep control in your own hands!
#ETF持续流出，BTC反弹能否延续？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞增长或放缓，广告业务成新看点 $BTC $ETH
老莫养鱼交易日记
$SNDK Is today a solo performance by SanDisk? As expected, SanDisk still has great flexibility!
Now it depends on whether it can effectively break through 1400; if it cannot, then around 1400 is a good opportunity to short!
$SKHYNIX The opening performance is mediocre, is it being drained by SanDisk? Among the three semiconductor memory giants, only SanDisk is aggressively moving up. Can Hynix hold firm?
#机构资金转弱，BTC与ETH谁先迎来回流？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞增长或放缓，广告业务成新看点 $MU
$SNDK Is today a solo performance by SanDisk? As expected, SanDisk still has great flexibility!
Now it depends on whether it can effectively break through 1400; if it cannot, then around 1400 is a good opportunity to short!
$SKHYNIX The opening performance is mediocre, is it being drained by SanDisk? Among the three semiconductor memory giants, only SanDisk is aggressively moving up. Can Hynix hold firm?
#机构资金转弱，BTC与ETH谁先迎来回流？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞增长或放缓，广告业务成新看点 $MU
The US stock market is about to open. Can today's long strategy on SanDisk $SNDK and SK Hynix $SKHYNIX be perfectly realized?
Today's trend basically belongs to an oversold recovery phase. The long and short ideas for SanDisk have also been given one by one. Let's see if the US market opening can provide some strength!
A bold prediction for the opening trend: will it rally first then drop, or drop first then rally? Or will it surge or plunge?
#机构资金转弱，BTC与ETH谁先迎来回流？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞增长或放缓，广告业务成新看点 $BTC
Explosive! Nearly $1.2 billion worth of BNB accounts closed and settled, bullish benefits realized but be cautious of bulls getting trapped!
Explosive! Nearly $1.2 billion worth of $BNB burned, be cautious of bulls getting trapped after the positive news is priced in! This BNB burn is indeed fierce, but don’t rush to see it as a takeoff signal! On October 19, BNB completed its 37th quarterly burn, destroying about 1.6462 million BNB, valued at approximately $1.197 billion at the time. But remember: burning reduces supply, it doesn’t mean the market immediately has an equivalent scale of buy orders entering. What’s more concerning on the chart is that BNB remains under pressure after the surge, failing to break through effectively around $730. The current market risks to watch out for are not just the positive news being priced in, but also the stop-loss and liquidation pressure from bulls if the support below breaks. 📉 Key levels to watch next: Around $730: The short-term strength dividing line; whether the rebound can hold here is critical. $710–$700: Key support zone below; if broken effectively, it may look for liquidity further down. $740–$750: Upper rebound resistance zone; don’t easily assume a trend reversal before it firmly holds above this. Trading approach: Be cautious short-term; consider short positions only if the rebound meets resistance, don’t blindly chase shorts! If the price rebounds to the resistance zone and shows signs of stagnation or volume resistance, consider light positioning; if it strongly holds above resistance, adjust to a bearish view promptly. Remember: positive news can drive prices up but doesn’t guarantee a rise; liquidation maps can highlight risk concentration areas but can’t predict price direction. Don’t get dazzled by the burn amount, and also
$AKE unlocking is coming soon, will there be any big moves?
Last month saw a big rally before the unlocking, and this month the monthly unlocking day is approaching again. The big market rally like last month is unlikely this time, as there is too much resistance from trapped positions above, resulting in heavy selling pressure. However, a small rally should still be possible, but it's uncertain if the recent surge a few days ago already played out the market early?
No worries, you can still try low leverage long positions now. After all, as one of the most volatile coins of the year, it still deserves some respect!!!
#机构资金转弱，BTC与ETH谁先迎来回流？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #奈飞增长或放缓，广告业务成新看点 $BTC $ETH
Who will experience the inflow first?
#Institutional funds weaken, who will see capital inflow first, BTC or ETH? Recently, institutional funds have clearly cooled down, and both BTC and ETH face pressure from capital outflows. Next, whoever can attract funds back first is likely to determine the pace of the next rebound phase. According to the latest available data on US spot ETFs from October 12 to 16: $BTC: Weekly net outflow of about $228 million, institutional buying is temporarily weak. $ETH: Weekly net outflow of about $320 million, greater capital pressure, and continuous net outflows for several days. Between BTC and ETH, who has a better chance to see inflows first? First, BTC is more likely to stabilize first. Bitcoin's institutional ETF market is more mature, with larger capital scale and liquidity. When market risk appetite declines, if institutions reallocate crypto assets, BTC is often the preferred choice. But the premise is that ETF outflows narrow and spot buying truly recovers. Second, ETH's key lies in whether capital can stop flowing out. Ethereum currently faces more obvious pressure. If subsequent ETH ETFs end continuous net outflows first, combined with a rebound in spot demand, ETH may also see capital recovery and even temporarily outperform BTC. What should we focus on next? Continuous ETF flows: Single-day inflows do not count as a reversal; sustained net inflows over several days are more valuable for reference. Spot trading volume: Price increases without spot capital support may lack sustainability in the rebound. Relative strength of BTC and ETH: If BTC stabilizes first and ETH continues to weaken