ECB Decision in October｜Live
Live
Last updated on --.
Total Volume$150.90K
Markets5
Trading endsOct 29, 21:10
Probability over time
ECB Decision in October odds
The percentage shows the market’s estimated chance of that outcome — driven entirely by live trading, not set by OKX. A 97 reading means a Yes share costs 97¢. A correct Yes share returns 1xp at settlement; an incorrect one returns 0xp.
ECB Decision in October outcome overview
Market Favourite
No change97% to win
Days to Start
6 DaysOct 29, 2026
Total Volume
$150.9K↑ 150.9Kxp today
Market rules
Resolve Yes if the applicable decision is 25 bps decrease. Otherwise, this market resolves No. Measure the change in the ECB deposit facility rate versus immediately before the meeting; if expressed as a range, use its upper bound. An absolute change below 25 bps is treated as 25 bps; a change above 25 bps is rounded to the nearest 25 bps, with an exact midpoint rounded away from zero. Any increase or decrease is assigned to the corresponding magnitude bucket. If the meeting is postponed but held before the next scheduled meeting begins, use the postponed decision. If it is cancelled or no decision is announced before the next scheduled meeting begins, No Change resolves Yes. Emergency changes outside this meeting do not count. Primary resolution source: the ECB monetary-policy decision (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/govcdec/mopo/html/index.en.html).
If a settlement dispute arises, an ambiguity arises that is not expressly covered by these rules, or the specified authoritative sources conflict, the platform will make the final determination in good faith based on the published rules, the specified data sources, and objectively verifiable facts.
Resolution sources
Related markets
FAQ
Click any outcome row and the trading panel syncs automatically. Select Yes (think it’ll happen) or No (think it won’t happen), enter your amount, and tap place order. You’ll need a free OKX account. Each correct Yes share pays 97¢ at settlement. Open positions remain active until the market closes.
Yes — you can sell your shares at any time before trading closes on Oct 29, 2026. The sale price reflects the market at that moment and may be higher or lower than what you paid. Once trading closes, positions settle at resolution.
Disclaimer
No purchase or payment necessary. This campaign is a free points activity with no funds at risk. Not an offer/solicitation to buy, sell or hold digital assets, which are subject to volatility. Not all products are offered in all regions. T&Cs apply.