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colword.std
colword.std
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$BTC 三套打法摆这 方案A 保守:85,500-85,633 挂空,止损 86,500,目标 84,000 / 83,500,3 倍杠杆。盈亏比约 2:1,赌的是 85,633 二次拒绝成立,止损给 86,500 留了 900 点缓冲。点评:稳字当头,错了也亏不多。 方案B 推荐:85,200-85,633 挂空,止损 86,200,目标 83,500 / 82,500,5 倍杠杆。盈亏比 2.4 到 3.7 比 1,止损卡在 10/02 长上影腰部下方,结构意义明确——破了 86,200 说明反弹有劲,认错走人。点评:性价比最高,进可攻退可守。 方案C 激进:84,656 现价直接空,止损 85,633,目标 82,500 / 81,000,8 倍杠杆。盈亏比 2.2 到 3.7 比 1,赌的是 10/02 长上影后空头已经接管,不等反弹直接上车。点评:闪身步没闪明白就别上,杠杆高止损近,心脏不好勿入。
colword.std
colword.std
From the capital flow chart: $BTC OI net inflow continuously flowed out 245 million for three days from 9/28 to 9/30, then continuously replenished 562 million for three days from 10/01 to 10/03. The money came in but the price did not hit a new high, so this 562 million is most likely trapped positions. $ETH is more straightforward, with a direct net outflow of 51 million on 10/03, bulls are running away. A quick word on $ETH $ETH current price is 2,680, even weaker than $BTC. On 10/02 it surged to 2,779 but closed at 2,667, with a longer upper shadow than $BTC. The fee rate plummeted from 0.0055% on 10/02 to 0.0015% on 10/03, bull confidence collapsed in a "miss you to death" style. I tend to short following $BTC, placing shorts at 2,720-2,749, stop loss at 2,790, target at 2,634, 3 to 4 times leverage is enough.

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